globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1002/rra.3454
WOS记录号: WOS:000485053700003
论文题名:
Climate change will both exacerbate and attenuate urbanization impacts on streamflow regimes in southern Willamette Valley, Oregon
作者: Wu, Hong1; Johnson, Bart R.1,2
通讯作者: Wu, Hong
刊名: RIVER RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS
ISSN: 1535-1459
EISSN: 1535-1467
出版年: 2019
卷: 35, 期:7, 页码:818-832
语种: 英语
英文关键词: alternative futures ; climate change ; hydrological impact ; land use change ; flow metric ; regional growth pattern ; integrated stormwater management
WOS关键词: ALTERED FLOW REGIMES ; LAND-USE CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; HYDROLOGIC ALTERATION ; PUGET LOWLAND ; SIMULATION ; PATTERNS ; MACROINVERTEBRATES ; ECOSYSTEMS ; WATERSHEDS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Interactions between climate change and urbanization may affect stream ecosystems in unexpected ways. With an integrated modelling framework, we assessed the combined hydrological impacts of climate change and urbanization under historical and future climate regimes across varied development scenarios in three watersheds in the Willamette Valley, Oregon. First, through an agent-based land use change model Envision, we created four development scenarios that consisted of 2 x 2 combinations of regional growth (compact population growth in urban cores vs. dispersed growth into rural areas) and stormwater management scenarios (with vs. without integrated stormwater management, ISM). ISM was defined as the integration of strategic organization of land uses with site-scale stormwater best management practices. Next, two future climate regimes were developed by statistically downscaling projections from two general circulation models (CanESM2 and CNRM-CM5) that performed well in replicating historical climate. The hydrological assessment of these scenarios was then conducted with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool. Using 10 ecologically significant flow metrics, we evaluated each scenario based on the magnitude of change in each metric and the degree to which such changes could be mitigated. Climate change alone led to a drying trend in flow regimes under both future climates. Combined with urbanization, it magnified changes in six of 10 metrics but attenuated impacts for three other measures of flashiness in at least one basin. The combination of compact growth and ISM effectively mitigated alterations for seven (out of nine) metrics sensitive to the combined impacts in at least one basin, with ISM being more effective than compact growth. The modelling framework teased out both nuanced differences and generalizable trends in hydrological impacts of urbanization and climate change and offers key methodological innovations towards an integrated framework capable of linking landscape planning mechanisms with the goal of sustaining stream ecosystem health.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146171
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ Oregon, Dept Landscape Architecture, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
2.Univ Oregon, Inst Sustainable Environm, Eugene, OR 97403 USA

Recommended Citation:
Wu, Hong,Johnson, Bart R.. Climate change will both exacerbate and attenuate urbanization impacts on streamflow regimes in southern Willamette Valley, Oregon[J]. RIVER RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS,2019-01-01,35(7):818-832
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Wu, Hong]'s Articles
[Johnson, Bart R.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Wu, Hong]'s Articles
[Johnson, Bart R.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Wu, Hong]‘s Articles
[Johnson, Bart R.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.