globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2018.129
WOS记录号: WOS:000482221200014
论文题名:
Assessment of potential impact of climate change on streamflow: a case study of the Brahmani River basin, India
作者: Vandana, Kumari1; Islam, Adlul2; Sarthi, P. Parth1; Sikka, Alok K.3,4; Kapil, Hemlata2
通讯作者: Vandana, Kumari
刊名: JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN: 2040-2244
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:3, 页码:624-641
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; high flow ; hybrid-delta ensemble method ; low flow ; PRMS
WOS关键词: WATER-RESOURCES ; HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS ; MODEL ; UNCERTAINTY ; SCALE ; QUANTIFICATION ; SENSITIVITY ; CALIBRATION ; CATCHMENT ; SCENARIOS
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

The impact of future climate change on streamflow in the Brahmani River basin, India has been assessed using a distributed parameter hydrological model Precipitation Runoff Modelling System (PRMS) and multi-model ensemble climate change scenarios. The multi-model ensemble climate change scenarios were generated using the Hybrid-Delta ensemble method for A2, A1B, and B1 emission scenarios for three different future periods of the 2020s (2010-2039), 2050s (2040-2069) and 2080s (2070-2099). There is an increase in annual mean temperature in the range of 0.8-1.0, 1.5-2.0 and 2.0-3.3 degrees C during the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s, respectively. Annual rainfall is projected to change in the range of -1.6-1.6, 1.6-3.1, and 4.8-8.1% during the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s, respectively. Simulation results indicated changes in annual streamflow in the range of -2.2-2.5, 2.4-4.7, and 7.3-12.6% during the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s, respectively. Simulation results showed an increase in high flows and reduction in low flows, but the frequency of both high and low flow increases during future periods. The results of this work will be useful in developing a water management adaptation plan in the study basin.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146249
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Cent Univ South Bihar, Ctr Environm Sci, BIT Campus,PO BV Coll, Patna 800014, Bihar, India
2.Indian Council Agr Res, Nat Resource Management Div, KAB 2, New Delhi 110012, India
3.IWMI Representat India, NASC Complex, New Delhi 110012, India
4.Int Water Management Inst, NASC Complex, New Delhi 110012, India

Recommended Citation:
Vandana, Kumari,Islam, Adlul,Sarthi, P. Parth,et al. Assessment of potential impact of climate change on streamflow: a case study of the Brahmani River basin, India[J]. JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,2019-01-01,10(3):624-641
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