globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.04.029
WOS记录号: WOS:000476964400008
论文题名:
Landslide response to climate change in permafrost regions
作者: Patton, Annette I.1; Rathburn, Sara L.1; Capps, Denny M.2
通讯作者: Patton, Annette I.
刊名: GEOMORPHOLOGY
ISSN: 0169-555X
EISSN: 1872-695X
出版年: 2019
卷: 340, 页码:116-128
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Landslides ; Climate change ; Permafrost thaw ; Hazards
WOS关键词: LAYER DETACHMENT FAILURES ; ALPINE ROCK WALLS ; SLOPE FAILURES ; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY ; CRYOGENIC LANDSLIDES ; POLAR AMPLIFICATION ; CARBON EXCHANGE ; MASS MOVEMENTS ; CASCADE RANGE ; THERMAL STATE
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

Rapid permafrost thaw in the high-latitude and high-elevation areas increases hillslope susceptibility to landsliding by altering geotechnical properties of hillslope materials, including reduced cohesion and increased hydraulic connectivity. This review synthesizes the fundamental processes that will increase landslide frequency and magnitude in permafrost regions in the coming decades with observational and analytical studies that document landslide regimes at high latitudes and elevations. We synthesize the available literature to address five questions of practical importance, which can be used to evaluate fundamental knowledge of landslide process and inform land management decisions to mitigate geohazards and environmental impacts. After permafrost thaws, we predict that landslides will be driven primarily by atmospheric input of moisture and freeze-thaw fracturing rather than responding to disconnected and perched groundwater, melting permafrost ice, and a plane of weakness between ground ice and the active layer. Transition between equilibrium states is likely to increase landslide frequency and magnitude, alter dominant failure styles, and mobilize carbon over timescales ranging from seasons to centuries. We also evaluate potential implications of increased landslide activity on local nutrient and sediment connectivity, atmospheric carbon feedbacks, and hazards to people and infrastructure. Last, we suggest three key areas for future research to produce primary data and analysis that will fill gaps in the existing understanding of landslide regimes in permafrost regions. These suggestions include 1) expand the geographic extent of English-language research on landslides in permafrost; 2) maintain or initiate long-term monitoring projects and aerial data collection; and 3) quantify the net effect on the terrestrial carbon budget. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146487
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Colorado State Univ, Dept Geosci, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
2.Denali Natl Pk & Preserve, Denali Natl Pk, AK 99755 USA

Recommended Citation:
Patton, Annette I.,Rathburn, Sara L.,Capps, Denny M.. Landslide response to climate change in permafrost regions[J]. GEOMORPHOLOGY,2019-01-01,340:116-128
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