globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2019.05.013
WOS记录号: WOS:000474498900015
论文题名:
Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
作者: Harmsen, J. H. M.1; van Vuuren, Detlef P.1; Nayak, Dali R.3; Hof, Andries F.1; Hoeglund-Isaksson, Lena4; Lucas, Paul L.1,2; Nielsen, Jens B.1; Smith, Pete3; Stehfest, Elke1
通讯作者: Harmsen, J. H. M.
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY
ISSN: 1462-9011
EISSN: 1873-6416
出版年: 2019
卷: 99, 页码:136-149
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Non-CO2 ; Mitigation ; MAC curves ; Climate policy
WOS关键词: NITROUS-OXIDE EMISSIONS ; DIETARY NITRATE SUPPLEMENTATION ; METHANE EMISSIONS ; N2O EMISSIONS ; CATALYTIC DECOMPOSITION ; MANAGEMENT-PRACTICES ; MITIGATION OPTIONS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RICE FIELDS ; CH4
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

This study presents a new comprehensive set of long-term Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) curves of all major non-CO2 greenhouse gas emission sources. The work builds on existing short-term MAC curve datasets and recent literature on individual mitigation measures. The new MAC curves include current technology and costs information as well as estimates of technology development and removal of implementation barriers to capture long-term dynamics. Compared to earlier work, we find a higher projected maximum reduction potential (MRP) of nitrous oxide (N2O) and a lower MRP of methane (CH4). The combined MRP for all non-CO2 gases is similar but has been extended to also capture mitigation measures that can be realized at higher implementation costs. When applying the new MAC curves in a cost-optimal, integrated assessment model-based 2.6 W/m(2) scenario, the total non-CO2 mitigation is projected to be 10.9 Mt CO2 equivalents in 2050 (i.e. 58% reduction compared to baseline emissions) and 15.6 Mt CO(2)equivalents in 2100 (i.e. a 71% reduction). In applying the new MAC curves, we account for inertia in thline implementation speed of mitigation measures. Although this does not strongly impact results in an optimal strategy, it means that the contribution of non-CO2 mitigation could be more limited if ambitious climate policy is delayed.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146492
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, Bezuidenhoutseweg 30, NL-2594 AV The Hague, Netherlands
2.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Princetonlaan 8a, NL-3584 CB Utrecht, Netherlands
3.Univ Aberdeen, Inst Biol & Environm Sci, Sch Biol Sci, 23 St Machar Dr, Aberdeen AB24 3UU, Scotland
4.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Air Qual & Greenhouse Gases Program, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Harmsen, J. H. M.,van Vuuren, Detlef P.,Nayak, Dali R.,et al. Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY,2019-01-01,99:136-149
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