globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)BE.1943-5592.0001473
WOS记录号: WOS:000475464700004
论文题名:
Integrated Framework for Quantifying the Effect of Climate Change on the Risk of Bridge Failure Due to Floods and Flood-Induced Scour
作者: Khandel, Omid; Soliman, Mohamed
通讯作者: Soliman, Mohamed
刊名: JOURNAL OF BRIDGE ENGINEERING
ISSN: 1084-0702
EISSN: 1943-5592
出版年: 2019
卷: 24, 期:9
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Bridges ; Risk ; Flood ; Scour ; Climate change ; Global climate models (GCM)
WOS关键词: NORTH-AMERICAN CLIMATE ; REINFORCED-CONCRETE BRIDGES ; HISTORICAL SIMULATIONS ; HIGHWAY BRIDGES ; CMIP5 ; PROBABILITY ; UNCERTAINTY ; PROJECTIONS ; IMPACTS ; UTILITY
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil
WOS研究方向: Engineering
英文摘要:

Climate change has been recognized as a significant threat for transportation infrastructure. The change in temperature profiles and precipitation patterns and the increase in the intensity of weather-related extreme events are among the effects attributed to climate change. Additionally, climate change may also alter the frequency and intensity of flood events, which increases the complexity of assessing the risk of bridge failure due to flood-related failure modes. Flood occurrence generally increases the rate of river bed erosion and may cause the formation of scour holes around bridge piers, leading to an increased risk of bridge failure. Several factors, such as future precipitation, basin parameters, flow direction, and drainage area, affect the streamflow of a river; accordingly, the proper prediction of long-term future flood hazard requires detailed and computationally expensive climate and hydrologic modeling, which can be prohibitive in assessing the life cycle risk of bridges and other transportation structures. This paper addresses these issues by proposing a comprehensive, yet computationally efficient, probabilistic framework for quantifying the risk of bridge failure due to flood events considering climate change. Statistical modeling was employed to draw a relationship between the downscaled climate data adopted from global climate models and the streamflow at a given location. The effects of different global climate models and carbon dioxide emission scenarios on failure risk due to flood hazard were taken into account. The results showed that using traditional assessment approaches that do not properly consider climate change effects can lead to a considerable underestimation or overprediction in the predicted future risk. The approach was applied to an existing bridge in Oklahoma; however, it is equally applicable to bridges and other transportation structures located in various regions in the United States.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146659
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Oklahoma State Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA

Recommended Citation:
Khandel, Omid,Soliman, Mohamed. Integrated Framework for Quantifying the Effect of Climate Change on the Risk of Bridge Failure Due to Floods and Flood-Induced Scour[J]. JOURNAL OF BRIDGE ENGINEERING,2019-01-01,24(9)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Khandel, Omid]'s Articles
[Soliman, Mohamed]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Khandel, Omid]'s Articles
[Soliman, Mohamed]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Khandel, Omid]‘s Articles
[Soliman, Mohamed]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.