globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.3389/fvets.2019.00293
WOS记录号: WOS:000483819900001
论文题名:
Risk of Introduction of Infectious Animal Diseases for Europe Based on the Health Situation of North Africa and the Arabian Peninsula
作者: Masso Sagues, Elena; Fernandez-Carrion, Eduardo; Manuel Sanchez-Vizcaino, Jose
通讯作者: Masso Sagues, Elena
刊名: FRONTIERS IN VETERINARY SCIENCE
ISSN: 2297-1769
出版年: 2019
卷: 6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: risk analysis ; infectious diseases ; entry ; vector ; wind flow ; birds migration ; bluetongue ; North Africa and Middle East
WOS关键词: SPREAD
WOS学科分类: Veterinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Veterinary Sciences
英文摘要:

The current growth of the human population, the intensification of animal production, climate change or globalization favors an increase in the transmission of infectious diseases. Risk analysis is the tool that allows the identification of the factors involved in the introduction and the spread of infectious diseases. The main objective of this work is to evaluate the risk of entry of animal infectious zoonotic and non-zoonotic diseases from North Africa and the Arabian Peninsula to countries of the European Union. A probabilistic formulation has been developed to obtain the probabilities of introduction of diseases associated with each possible route of entry in the European Union. The results show that, among the infectious diseases analyzed in this study, avian influenza and Newcastle disease are the ones with a higher risk of entry in the European Union and the wild bird's migration is the route with greater impact. It is confirmed a moderate probability of entry of some vector-borne diseases, bluetongue and epizootic haemorrhagic disease, through wind flow from Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia. Due to the absence of live dromedary movement to Europe, the more likely way of entry of the Middle East respiratory syndrome is through the infected people movement from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and Oman. This study includes different methodologies. A model of vectors dispersion in wind currents has been established to assess the risk of introduction of vector borne diseases. It is applicable both in animal health and public health. A periodical update would be useful to obtain a periodically updated risk analysis and to allow early detection of potential hazard with an increased risk over the previous years.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146746
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: Univ Complutense Madrid, Vet Sch, VISAVET Hlth Surveillance Ctr, Anim Hlth Dept, Madrid, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Masso Sagues, Elena,Fernandez-Carrion, Eduardo,Manuel Sanchez-Vizcaino, Jose. Risk of Introduction of Infectious Animal Diseases for Europe Based on the Health Situation of North Africa and the Arabian Peninsula[J]. FRONTIERS IN VETERINARY SCIENCE,2019-01-01,6
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