globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.05.298
WOS记录号: WOS:000477951900015
论文题名:
Drought in Portugal: Current regime, comparison of indices and impacts on extreme wildfires
作者: Parente, J.1; Amraoui, M.1; Menezes, I.2,3; Pereira, M. G.1,4
通讯作者: Parente, J.
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 685, 页码:150-173
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Drought ; Wildfire ; SPI ; SPEI ; RDI ; VCI
WOS关键词: PRECIPITATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION INDEX ; REGIONAL FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS ; AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FOREST-FIRES ; MAINLAND PORTUGAL ; GLOBAL ASSESSMENT ; ERA-INTERIM ; VEGETATION ; EVENTS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

In Portugal, drought characterizes the climatic variability, contributes to the increase of fire risk and its duration and intensity are expected to increase in future climate. Surprisingly, the quantitative and objective analysis to characterize the drought regime in current climate conditions as well as its influence on the occurrence of large wildfires (LW) has never been done for Portugal, which are the main objectives of this study. We assessed drought regime for recent past climate conditions (1981-2017), using four different drought indices, namely SPI. SPEI, RDI and VCI, and assessed the influence of drought in LW occurrence. Results include the characterization of drought number, duration, severity, intensity, extension, intra- and inter-annual variability for different classes of severity and the space-time distribution of LW in drought periods and affected area. Our main findings include 67% of the study period were drought months; regions with higher drought duration and severity assessed with SPI and SPEI for general drought conditions evolves from north to south with the increase of drought assessment period; drought characteristics present low intra - annual and inter - annual variability but are clearly associated to the temporal and spatial distribution of LW. In fact, all LW occurred during drought assessed with SPI or SPEI, almost all LW (97% to 95%) and corresponding burnt area (98% to 97%) occurred during drought assessed with SPI and SPEI. The relationship between drought and fire incidence is statistical significant for 3 month SPI, 3 - and 6 - month SPEI, and is particularly strong for Moderate and Severe drought. 85% and 87% of LW occurred in area affected by drought assessed with SPI or SPEI, respectively. It is not clear which is the best index, but drought plays a fundamental role in the occurrence of large wildfires in Portugal. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147102
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作者单位: 1.Univ Tras Os Montes & Alto Douro, CITAB, Ctr Res & Technol Agroenvironm & Biol Sci, Vila Real, Portugal
2.Univ Evora, ICAAM, Evora, Portugal
3.Univ Lusofona Humanidades Tecnol, DREAMS, Lisbon, Portugal
4.Univ Lisbon, Inst Dom Luiz, IDL, Lisbon, Portugal

Recommended Citation:
Parente, J.,Amraoui, M.,Menezes, I.,et al. Drought in Portugal: Current regime, comparison of indices and impacts on extreme wildfires[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,685:150-173
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