globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2019.103614
WOS记录号: WOS:000484871000031
论文题名:
Co-constructing future land-use scenarios for the Grenoble region, France
作者: Vannier, Clemence1,2; Bierry, Adeline1; Longaretti, Pierre-Yves3,4,7; Nettier, Baptiste5; Cordonnier, Thomas5; Chauvin, Christophe5; Bertrand, Nathalie5; Quetier, Fabien6; Lasseur, Remy1; Lavorel, Sandra1
通讯作者: Vannier, Clemence
刊名: LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING
ISSN: 0169-2046
EISSN: 1872-6062
出版年: 2019
卷: 190
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Participatory scenario planning ; Scenario downscaling ; Land use and land cover modelling ; Landscape conversion ; Mountain regions
WOS关键词: ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LANDSCAPE METRICS ; KNOWLEDGE ; SCIENCE ; POLICY ; MODEL ; REFORESTATION ; ABANDONMENT ; ADAPTATION
WOS学科分类: Ecology ; Environmental Studies ; Geography ; Geography, Physical ; Regional & Urban Planning ; Urban Studies
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography ; Physical Geography ; Public Administration ; Urban Studies
英文摘要:

Physically and socially heterogeneous mountain landscapes support high biodiversity and multiple ecosystem services. But rapid landscape transformation from fast urbanisation and agricultural intensification around cities to abandonment and depopulation in higher and more remote districts, raises urgent environmental and planning issues. For anticipating their future in a highly uncertain socio-economic context, we engaged stakeholders of a dynamic urban region of the French Alps in an exemplary interactive participatory scenario planning (PSP) for co-creating salient, credible and legitimate scenarios. Stakeholders helped researchers adapt, downscale and spatialize four normative visions from the regional government, co-producing four storylines of trend versus break-away futures. Stakeholder input, combined with planning documents and analyses of recent dynamics, enabled parameterisation of high-resolution models of urban expansion, agriculture and forest dynamics. With similar storylines in spite of stakeholders insisting on different governance arrangements, both trend scenarios met current local and European planning objectives of containing urban expansion and limiting loss and fragmentation of agricultural land. Both break-away scenarios induced considerable conversion from agriculture to forest, but with highly distinctive patterns. Under a commonly investigated, deregulated liberal economic context, encroachment was random and patchy across valleys and mountains. A novel reinforced nature protection scenario affecting primarily mountain and hilly areas fostered deliberate consolidation of forested areas and connectivity. This transdisciplinary approach demonstrated the potential of combining downscaled normative scenarios with local, spatially-precise dynamics informed by stakeholders for local appropriation of top-down visions, and for supporting land planning and subsequent assessment of ecosystem service trade-offs.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147166
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Savoie Mt Blanc, Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Lab Ecol Alpine,UMR 5553, F-38000 Grenoble, France
2.Univ Rennes 2, CNRS, LETG, UMR 6554, Pl Recteur Henri le Moal, F-35043 Rennes, France
3.Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, INRIA, Grenoble INP,LJK, F-38000 Grenoble, France
4.Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, INSU, IPAG, CS 40700, F-38052 Grenoble, France
5.Univ Grenoble Alpes, Irstea, UR EMGR, LESSEM, 2 Rue Papeterie,BP 76, F-38402 St Martin Dheres, France
6.Biotope, 22 Bld Foch, F-34140 Meze, France
7.Univ Grenoble Alpes, Inst Engn, Grenoble, France

Recommended Citation:
Vannier, Clemence,Bierry, Adeline,Longaretti, Pierre-Yves,et al. Co-constructing future land-use scenarios for the Grenoble region, France[J]. LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING,2019-01-01,190
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