globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.06.051
WOS记录号: WOS:000479025500009
论文题名:
Dynamic drought risk assessment for maize based on crop simulation model and multi-source drought indices
作者: Zhang, Feng1,2,3; Chen, Yanan1,2,3; Zhang, Jiquan1,2,3; Guo, Enliang1,2,3; Wang, Rui1,2,3; Li, Danjun1,2,3
通讯作者: Zhang, Jiquan
刊名: JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN: 0959-6526
EISSN: 1879-1786
出版年: 2019
卷: 233, 页码:100-114
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Dynamic drought risk assessment ; CERES-Maize model ; Multi-source drought indices ; Remote sensing
WOS关键词: AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION INDEX ; YIELD ; VULNERABILITY ; CHINA ; VEGETATION ; REGION ; DISASTER
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Agricultural drought is a globally impacted natural disaster for the rain-fed agriculture region. The aim of this study is to construct a dynamic drought risk assessment (DDRA) model of maize for different growth periods based on risk assessment theory. In this model, optimal drought hazard indices for maize of the four growth stages were selected among 11 time scales daily Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, Precipitation Condition Index, Soil Moisture Condition Index, Vegetation Condition Index, and Optimized Vegetation Drought Index. Secondly, the CERES-Maize model was used to fit the physical vulnerability curves with their corresponding drought hazards indices. DDRA model of maize in Jilin Province, China during 1981-2014 was conducted based on in situ data, remote sensing data, and field experiments data. The maize drought risk series maps were drawn and the results showed that the risk value under same hazard level presented an increasing trend at emergence-jointing and jointing-heading stage, and had a slight decreasing trend at heading-milky and milky-mature stage. For spatial dimension, the high drought risk value was distributed in the west and middle region. During the last three growth periods, the high risk value areas increased gradually from northwest to southeast region. The results indicated that the DDRA model provides more accurate evaluation in both the time and spatial scale and has significant guidance value for improving the adaptability of agricultural drought risk. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147275
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Northeast Normal Univ, Sch Environm, Inst Nat Disaster Res, Changchun 130024, Jilin, Peoples R China
2.Minist Educ, Key Lab Vegetat Ecol, Changchun 130024, Jilin, Peoples R China
3.Northeast Normal Univ, State Environm Protect Key Lab Wetland Ecol & Veg, Changchun 130024, Jilin, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Feng,Chen, Yanan,Zhang, Jiquan,et al. Dynamic drought risk assessment for maize based on crop simulation model and multi-source drought indices[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2019-01-01,233:100-114
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