globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceano.2019.03.001
WOS记录号: WOS:000485098700002
论文题名:
Assessment of coastal vulnerability in Chabahar Bay due to climate change scenarios
作者: Armanfar, Mahmoudreza1; Goharnejad, Hamid1,3,4; Niri, Mahmoud Zakeri2; Perrie, Will3
通讯作者: Goharnejad, Hamid
刊名: OCEANOLOGIA
ISSN: 0078-3234
EISSN: 2300-7370
出版年: 2019
卷: 61, 期:4, 页码:412-426
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Sea level rise ; Wave regime prediction ; Coastal vulnerability ; MIKE21 model
WOS关键词: WAVE CLIMATE ; LEVEL
WOS学科分类: Oceanography
WOS研究方向: Oceanography
英文摘要:

A substantial body of research has shown that two key factors of global sea level rise are thermal expansion and melting of land-based ice, glaciers and ice sheets. Moreover, climate change may result in changes to wind speeds and directions, consequently resulting in contributions to variations in wind-wave components, wave heights and directions. In this research, climate change scenarios were used to assess the coastal vulnerability to the Chabahar port area due to global sea level rise, significant wave height changes and tidal regime effects. These three items were calculated separately using numerical models and the impacts of possible climate change scenarios were applied to estimate possible changes to these items by 2100. Significant wave heights for 25, 50 and 100-year return periods were evaluated. Based on statistical analysis, the maximum significant wave heights for the A2 and A1 B scenarios were estimated at approximately 13.7 and 7.6, respectively. Since the main aim of this research was to assess the coastal zones at higher flood risk, therefore the mean global sea level rise, extreme values of significant wave heights and tidal heights were investigated. The height of sea during sea storms and for the most extreme case was calculated as 17.3 m and 11.2 m for A2 and the A1B scenarios, respectively. According to output maps of inundation areas, large coastal zones in the Chabahar port area are at risk due to the sea storms and possible climate change. (C) 2019 Institute of Oceanology of the Polish Academy of Sciences. Production and hosting by Elsevier Sp. z o.o.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147361
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Islamic Azad Univ, Environm Sci Res Ctr, IslamShahr Branch, Islamshahr, Iran
2.Islamic Azad Univ, IslamShahr Branch, Young Researchers & Elite Club, Islamshahr, Iran
3.Fisheries & Oceans Canada, Bedford Inst Oceanog, Dartmouth, NS, Canada
4.Dalhousie Univ, Engn Math & Internetworking, Halifax, NS, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Armanfar, Mahmoudreza,Goharnejad, Hamid,Niri, Mahmoud Zakeri,et al. Assessment of coastal vulnerability in Chabahar Bay due to climate change scenarios[J]. OCEANOLOGIA,2019-01-01,61(4):412-426
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