globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5256607
论文题名:
气候变化情景下青藏工程走廊融沉灾害风险性区划研究
其他题名: Risk division of thaw settlement hazard along Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor under climate change
作者: 阮国锋; 张建明; 柴明堂
刊名: 冰川冻土
ISSN: 1000-0240
出版年: 2014
卷: 36, 期:4
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 青藏工程走廊 ; 多年冻土 ; 融沉灾害 ; 灾害区划
英文关键词: Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor (QTEC) ; permafrost ; thaw settlement hazards ; division of hazards
WOS学科分类: MINERALOGY
WOS研究方向: Mineralogy
中文摘要: 气候变暖会加剧青藏工程走廊多年冻土区融沉灾害的发生,威胁重大工程的安全运营.选取冻土体积含冰量和活动层厚度变化量为指标,借助ArcGIS软件,采用融沉指数模型对青藏工程走廊融沉灾害做出了区划.结果表明:在未来50 a,青藏工程走廊内融沉灾害在A1B和A2情景下主要为中高风险性,在B1情景下主要为中低风险性.高风险区主要分布在楚玛尔河高平原、五道梁和开心岭等高温高含冰量冻土区.
英文摘要: Climate warming could aggravate the frequency of thaw settlement hazards along the Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor (QTEC), and bring negative impacts on the infrastructures. In this paper, the volumetric ice content and the change of active-layer thickness are taken as indexes and applied to the thaw settlement model supported by ArcGIS software to zone the thaw-settlement hazards along QTEC. The results show that in the next 50 years the thaw settlement hazards along QTEC will be moderate and high-risk categories under A1B and A2 scenarios, but low and moderate risk categories under B1 scenario. High-risk areas mainly distribute in warm and ice-rich permafrost regions, such as Chumarhe high plain, Wudaoliang and Kaixinling regions.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147416
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 冻土工程国家重点实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
阮国锋,张建明,柴明堂. 气候变化情景下青藏工程走廊融沉灾害风险性区划研究[J]. 冰川冻土,2014-01-01,36(4)
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