globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5292821
论文题名:
1644-1911年中国华东与华南沿海台风入境频率
其他题名: The changing of Chinese coastal typhoon frequency based on historical documents, 1644-1911AD
作者: 潘威1; 满志敏2; 刘大伟2; 颜停霞3
刊名: 地理研究
ISSN: 1000-0585
出版年: 2014
卷: 33, 期:11
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 台风 ; 小冰期 ; 现代暖期 ; 中国沿海
英文关键词: typhoon ; little ice age ; modern warm period ; China coast
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用清代至民国时期华东与华南沿海的多种历史文献,通过对颶、颱含义的考察与风雨潮现象记录特征的辨析,以及非台风事件的排除,建立了1644-1911年入境华东与华南沿海的逐年台风频率序列。研究时段内共有967次台风入境(年均3.62次),17世纪后半期、19世纪与20世纪之交这两个时期是台风活动非常活跃的时期。ENSO现象与沿海台风活动的频率不存在明显的相关性。全球/半球尺度的冷暖转换在19世纪后期至20世纪早期曾经伴随了入境中国沿海台风次数的增加,在过去300年中是增长速率最快的一个时期,但在17世纪和18世纪之交时出现的快速升温现象却伴随着沿海台风数量的下降。因此,半球/全球尺度的快速升温现象与中国华东华南沿海遭受台风数量之间可能不存在线性关系。
英文摘要: Based on a variety of historical literatures of Qing Dynasty and the Republic of China, the year- by- year frequency sequence of typhoons making landfall in coastal regions of East and South China from 1644 to 1911 is established through examining the meaning of "Ju"(颶)and "Tai"(颱), analyzing recorded characteristics of storm tide phenomenon, as well as the exclusion of non-typhoon events. In the study period (AD1644-1911), a total of 967 typhoons made landfall in China (average 3.62 times per year), and the typhoon activity was very active in the second half of the 17th century and at the turn of the 19th and 20th centuries. There is no obvious correlation between ENSO phenomenon and the frequency of typhoon activity in coastal regions. Changes in temperature conversion in global/hemispheric scale increased in the late 19th century to the early 20th century with the number of typhoons making landfall in coastal regions of China, and over the last 300 years was the period of the greatest rate of growth, but rapid warming phenomenon at the turn of 17th and 18th centuries decreased with the number of typhoons making landfall in coastal regions, so the rapid warming phenomenon in global/hemispheric scale and the number of the typhoons occurred in coastal regions of East and South China are irrelevant. On the inter- decadal scale, typhoons that influence coastal regions of East and South China have the obvious inverse correlation. From the long period of time, the relationship between the frequency of typhoons making landfall in coastal regions of China and ENSO can indicate that the influence of ENSO on typhoons making landfall in China is likely to be periodic, currently, the consistence of them may have been established in the late 19th century, by contrast, the consistence that appeared in the early 18th century seemed to be more stable. Prevoius studies showed that the frequency of typhoons and ENSO had sustainable and stable relationship, which seemed that the relationship does not exist in the regional studies. Due to the limitation of the documents in this study, the relationship between ENSO and typhoon activity in the Northwest Pacific needs to be further studied. "Global warming" that have effects on the environment still has much uncertainty, thus whether disastrous weathers, including typhoon, will increase under the background of "global warming", still needs further studies as well as reviews. The relationship between the factors like typhoon strength, its motion path and its remaining time and "global warming" will be still unclear, so that it needs more research. The spatial variation of typhoon activity in coastal regions of East and South China that article reveals can not yet give a better explanation, and it should be provided for academic discussion.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147565
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.陕西师范大学西北历史环境与经济社会发展研究院GIS实验室, 西安, 陕西 710062, 中国
2.复旦大学历史地理研究中心, 上海 200234, 中国
3.南京信息工程大学遥感学院, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国

Recommended Citation:
潘威,满志敏,刘大伟,等. 1644-1911年中国华东与华南沿海台风入境频率[J]. 地理研究,2014-01-01,33(11)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[潘威]'s Articles
[满志敏]'s Articles
[刘大伟]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[潘威]'s Articles
[满志敏]'s Articles
[刘大伟]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[潘威]‘s Articles
[满志敏]‘s Articles
[刘大伟]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.