globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5280145
论文题名:
全球过去千年典型暖期温度空间格局重建
其他题名: SPATIAL PATTERN RECONSTRUCTION OF TYPICAL CENTENNIAL WARM PERIODS OF GLOBAL TEMPERATURE OVER THE PAST MILLENNIUM
作者: 史锋1; 杨保2; 赵森1; 杨凤梅3
刊名: 第四纪研究
ISSN: 1001-7410
出版年: 2014
卷: 34, 期:6
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 过去千年 ; 温度空间格局 ; 中世纪暖期 ; 小冰期 ; 现代暖期 ; 大西洋经圈翻转环流
英文关键词: past millennium ; spatial pattern variability ; Medieval Warm Period ; Little Ice Age ; Current Warm Period ; Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
WOS学科分类: GEOLOGY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 利用过去两千年全球变化研究网络(PAGES 2k network)最新公布的501条代用记录,重建了全球过去千年全年平均温度空间格局的演化特征,对比分析了中世纪暖期及其最暖100年与20世纪现代暖期、中世纪暖期和小冰期最暖30年与20世纪最近30年的年平均温度空间模态异同。结果显示,在世纪尺度上,现代暖期与历史上中世纪暖期的温度异常空间格局大致相同,变化幅度也在大部分区域相当,但从年代际尺度上,最近30年的升温比过去千年中世纪暖期和小冰期两个典型时期都明显。值得一提的是北大西洋中高纬度海温变化与上述特征并不相同,在年代际和世纪尺度上小冰期和中世纪暖期海温均高于20世纪。可能原因是大西洋经圈翻转环流在中世纪暖期、小冰期和20世纪现代暖期等3个特征时段对太阳辐射、火山活动和温室气体等外强迫的响应不同。
英文摘要: The past climate reconstruction in different spatial and temporal scales using proxy records can provide a reliable basis for assessing climate model simulations, but also for exploring the present and future climate change regime. In this paper, we use 501 global proxy records published by past global change (PAGES) 2k network working group, including 418 tree-ring chronologies, 29 ice-cores, 13 corals, 2 speleothems, 34 lake/sea sediments, 1 historical document, and 4 instrumental records. Based on these explicit temperature-sensitive proxies with accurate dating, we reconstruct the spatial pattern of global temperature with decadal resolution over the past millennium using the hybrid frequency-domain Regularized Expectation Maximization procedure, and then, analyze the similarities and differences of typical centennial warm periods between the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) in 950~ 1250A.D. and the Current Warm Period (CWP) in 1901 ~ 2000A.D., and typical 30 years warm periods among the MWP, Little Ice age (LIA) and CWP. Results show that the temperature anomalies during the CWP in most of regions are higher than ones during the MWP, especially in Eurasia, North America, Eastern Pacific, South Atlantic and Indian Oceans. The temperature anomalies in the last 30 years (1971 ~ 2000A.D.) of the CWP are also distinctly higher than in the warmest 30 years (972 ~ 1001 A.D.) of the MWP and the LIA (1608 ~ 1637A.D.) except for North Atlantic. The temperature anomalies of the warmest 100 years (950 ~ 1049A.D.) of the MWP have no significant difference in most of regions compared to the CWP. This indicates that temperature anomalies during the warmest century of the MWP are comparable to those in amplitude during the CWP in most of regions on a centennial timescale, but on a decadal timescale, the warming in the last 30 years are unprecedented compared to the past two diagnostic periods. It is noteworthy that, the high-latitude North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies in the LIA and MWP on decadal to centurial timescales are higher than those in the CWP. The mechanism may be that the high solar radiation and weak volcanic activity induce the increasing equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature gradient through a thermostat mechanism during the MWP. This process strengthens the trade winds and helps La Nina-like continued. Classic La Nina condition causes the Southern Hemisphere westerlies move to south, and increases saltwater exchange between the Indian Ocean and South Atlantic,and results in strengthening the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). The outcome is warm sea surface temperature anomalies in high-latitude North Atlantic. Moreover, the La Nina-like condition impacts Hadley circulation in equatorial Atlantic and spreads down through the stratosphere, which affect the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). This also results in warm sea surface temperature anomalies in high-latitude North Atlantic. The AMOC from the MWP to the LIA from strong to weak is mainly affected by the weaker solar radiation and stronger volcanic activity for a transition, leading to decreases in the North Atlantic sea surface temperature. However, the AMOC mainly responding to the rapid increase in greenhouse gas in the CWP is weakened, leading to cold North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147682
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作者单位: 1.中国科学院大气物理研究所, 大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室, 北京 100029, 中国
2.中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 中国科学院沙漠与沙漠化重点实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国
3.中国气象局气象干部培训学院, 北京 100081, 中国

Recommended Citation:
史锋,杨保,赵森,等. 全球过去千年典型暖期温度空间格局重建[J]. 第四纪研究,2014-01-01,34(6)
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