globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5273358
论文题名:
新疆农牧业碳排放及其与农业经济增长的脱钩关系研究
其他题名: Xinjiang agriculture and animal husbandry carbon emissions and its decoupling relationship with agricultural economic growth
作者: 苏洋; 马惠兰; 李凤
刊名: 干旱区地理
ISSN: 1000-6060
出版年: 2014
卷: 37, 期:5
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 农牧业碳排放 ; 测算 ; 时空特征 ; 农业经济增长 ; 脱钩关系
英文关键词: agriculture and animal husbandry carbon emission ; calculate ; spatial-temporal characteristics ; agricultural economic growth ; decoupling relation
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 研究基于农地利用、畜牧养殖两方面15类碳源,测算了新疆1993-2011年以及各地州2011年的农牧业碳排放量,并运用Tapio脱钩模型对1994-2011年间新疆农牧业碳排放与农业经济增长之间的脱钩关系进行分析。结果显示:(1)2011年新疆农牧业碳排放总量为778.73*l0~4t,比1993年增加了50.12%,年均增长2.28%,呈现出明显的持续上升波动上升两阶段特征,碳排放强度和结构的空间差异明显;(2)农牧业碳排放与农业经济增长呈现出弱脱钩与扩张连接交替一弱脱钩平稳一强脱钩转型的演进过程。
英文摘要: Global warming caused by carbon emissions has an obvious inhibitory effect on human being,social and economic activities. Expecially,agriculture and animal husbandry production which leads to carbon emissions is one of the important inducements for accelerating global warming. Whereas the huge pressure of carbon emission caused by agriculture-stock production, based on 15 categories of major carbon sources from agricultural land use, and animal husbandry, this study calculated the agriculture and animal husbandury carbon emissions in Xinjiang during 1993-2011,as well as all of the prefectures and cities in 2011. And by using Tapio decoupling model, it has analyzed the Xinjiang's agriculture and animal husbandry carbon emissions' decoupling relationship with agricultural economic development. The results shows as follows: (1)Xinjiang,s agriculture and animal husbandry carbon emissions in 2011 were 778.73 thousand tons, a 50.12% increase over 1993,resulting from agricultural land use, animal husbandry which respectively accounted for 53.16%, 46.84% of total agriculture and animal husbandry carbon emis-sions.In relation to time-series change, carbon emissions displayed an obvious'kept elevating-fluctuating uprising' phase- change characteristic. (2) In lateral view, the regional difference was clear. As for total agricultural and animal husbandry carbon emissions,Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture,Altay Prefecture and Counties Direct Under Ili Prefecture produced higher carbon emissions more than 600 thousand tons. Hotan Prefecture,Tacheng Prefecture, Aksu Prefecture and Kashgar Prefecture, agricultural carbon emissions lay between 300-600 thousand tons. Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Bayangol Mongol Autonomous Prefecture, Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture, Hami Prefecture,Turpan Prefecture and Urumqi City produced lower carbon emissions less than 300 thousand tons. In all, the major areas of agriculture and animal husbandry production are the main source of carbon emissions. (3) As for the structure carbon emissions of agriculture and animal husbandry, based on the different carbon emissions,all the prefectures and cities were divided into three types : Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture,Bayangol Mongol Autonomous Prefecture and Aksu Prefecture belong to land use dominant. Urumqi City, Hami Prefecture ,Counties Direct Under Ili Prefecture,Altay Prefecture,Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture,and Hotan Prefecture are the type of animal husbandry dominant. Turpan Prefecture, Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Tacheng Prefecture and Kashgar Prefecture belong to composite factors dominant. (4) In relation to agriculture and animal husbandry intensity,in general,it presents obvious difference among all of the prefectures and cities in Xinjiang. To be specific, northern Xinjiang was the highest, followed by southern Xinjiang, and the east Xinjiang was the lowest. (5) The result from Tapio decoupling model shows that: it was an evolution process from weak alternating negative strong decoupling,to stationary weak decoupling,and changed into strong decoupling,indicating that some certain results have been achieved in agricultural carbon emission reduction during recent years. The conclusions of this paper have certain significance for supplementing the research of the issue about Xinjiang agricultural carbon emissions.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147740
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830052, 中国

Recommended Citation:
苏洋,马惠兰,李凤. 新疆农牧业碳排放及其与农业经济增长的脱钩关系研究[J]. 干旱区地理,2014-01-01,37(5)
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