globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5273345
论文题名:
祁连山大野口流域气温、降水、河川径流特征分析
其他题名: Feature analysis of temperature and precipitation and river runoff at Dayekou Basin of Qilian Mountains
作者: 牛贇; 刘贤德; 敬文茂; 马剑
刊名: 干旱区地理
ISSN: 1000-6060
出版年: 2014
卷: 37, 期:5
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气温 ; 降水 ; 河川径流 ; 祁连山大野口流域
英文关键词: Temperature ; Precipitation ; River runoff ; Dayekou basin of Qilian Mountains
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 水库底层深入基岩层,无地下潜流等优势可准确地测得流域河川径流量。通过大野口流域气温、降水和流域河川径流18 a(1994-2011)的长期监测,采用特征值参数计算、回归分析、线性倾向分析、百分比排位等方法对其数据进行处理和分析,结果表明:(1)从特征参数看,气温年际变异最大、河川径流次之,年降水最小;年均气温、年降水量和年河川径流量分别在1.16~2.08℃、307.43 ~ 440.69 mm、129.04 ~ 204.42 mm区间内变动的年份占68%左右,大气降水的44.57%形成了河川径流。(2)从回归模型看,如年均气温1.62℃、年降水量为374.06 mm,则流域年河川径流量的估计值为165.47 mm。(3)从线性倾向分析法,气温、降水和河川径流均呈波动性上升趋势,其中气温,平均趋势变化率约为0.23℃ ·(10 a)~(-1)、降水和流域河川径流平均趋势变化率均为18 mm·(10 a)~(-1)左右。(4)从月份相关函数分析,气温、降水和河川径流在1月份最小,平均值分别为-11.91 ℃、2.74mm和0.32mm;7月份最大,平均值分别为14.38 ℃、82.48 mm、37.48 mm。通过研究,可为中等流域尺度上进一步揭示水源涵养功能机理及其流域产流机制提供参考和科学依据。
英文摘要: Precipitation and temperature are the most sensitive on formation of the regional climate change because runoff from precipitation, and the form of precipitation (rain and snowfall) and snow melting and freezing and thawing of permafrost phenomena are closely related with the temperature,but the research of watershed runoff is less in Qilian Mountains. There is difficult for constructing measuring weir in Dayekou Basin of Qilian Mountains because river is very big, and difficult for observation rivers runoff,which obstructed the development of research on function of water conservation in multi-scale basin. In this paper, using the hydrologic observation data in Dayekou Basin of Qilian Mountains for more than 30 years, and combining with the long-term monitoring stations around the reservoir, have carried out the research on characteristics of temperature,precipitation and runoff. The precipitation and temperature and watershed river runoff are long-term monitored and researched during 18 years (1994-2011). Using parameter calculation,regression analysis,linear tendency analysis,percentage of qualifying for the data processing and analysis,the results show as follows: (1) From the parameter calculation,the annual variation of the temperature is the largest,and river runoff takes second place,and precipitation is the minimum; Annual average temperature, annual precipitation and the annual river runoff are changed from 1.16 to 2.08 ℃ , from 307.43 t 440.69 mm, from 129.04 204.42 mm and their probability accounted for 68%. The annual river runoff accounted for 44.57% of the annual precipitation. (2) From the regression model calculation, if the annual average temperature 1.62 ℃,and the annual precipitation is 374.06 mm, the river runoff of estimate is 165.47 mm. (3) From linear tendency analysis, temperature,precipitation and river runoff all showed a trend of volatility rising,including the trend of average rate of temperature is 0.23 ℃ · (10 a)~(-1), and the precipitation and river runoff are all around 18 mm · (10 a)~(-1). (4) From the correlation function, temperature, precipitation and river runoff respectively are 11.91 ℃ , 2.74 mm and 0.32 mm which are minimum in January. The largest average respectively are 14.38 ℃ , 82.48 mm and 37.48 mm in July. This research would be provided reference and scientific basis to further reveal the function of water conservation and its producing mechanism in moderate scale basin. This research would be basic work for sustainable exploiting and utilizing water resources in future,and great significance on perceiving evolving law of hydrological processes in a particular area,and ensuring water resources rational development in the continental river basin,maintaining agricultural sustainable development in Hexi region.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147744
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 甘肃省祁连山水源涵养林研究院, 甘肃省森林生态与冻土水文水资源重点实验室, 张掖, 甘肃 734000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
牛贇,刘贤德,敬文茂,等. 祁连山大野口流域气温、降水、河川径流特征分析[J]. 干旱区地理,2014-01-01,37(5)
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