globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5114119
论文题名:
河西走廊三大内陆河流域出山径流变化特征及其影响因素分析
其他题名: Mountainous runoff change in three inland river basin in Hexi Corridor and its influencing factors
作者: 张晓晓; 张钰; 徐浩杰; 朱佳君
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2014
卷: 28, 期:4, 页码:100-110
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 出山径流 ; 径流变化 ; 影响因子 ; 河西走廊
英文关键词: Hexi Corridor ; mountainous runoff ; runoff variation ; influencing factors
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 以1961-2010年河西走廊三大内陆河流域出山年径流资料为基础,综合运用趋势分析、Mann-Kendall突变检测、Morlet小波分析、R/S分析、降水-径流深度双累积曲线等多种数理分析方法,研究了河西走廊三大内陆河流域出山年径流的变化特征、影响因素及未来可能的变化趋势。结果表明:(1)1961-2010年,石羊河流域出山年径流呈微弱减少趋势,黑河流域和疏勒河流域出山年径流呈显著增加趋势,50年来黑河流域和疏勒河流域出山年径流存在显著突变特征;(2)1961-2010年,石羊河流域和黑河流域出山年径流经历了"枯-丰-枯-丰"4次交替,疏勒河流域出山年径流经历了"枯-丰" 2次交替;(3)1961-2010年,石羊河流域、黑河流域、疏勒河流域出山年径流变化的主周期分别为5年、22年和15年,但不具有统计显著性;(4)河西走廊三大内陆河流域出山年径流变化受祁连山区降水影响较大,山区人类活动对年径流变化影响较小;(5)未来石羊河流域出山年径流可能呈减少趋势,黑河流域和疏勒河流域出山年径流可能呈增加趋势。
英文摘要: Base on annual mountainous runoff and rainfall data of three inland river basin in Hexi Corridor during 1961-2010,rate of linear tendency,Mann-Kendall mutation point inspection,wavelet analysis,R/S analysis and double mass curve analysis were used to analyze inter-annual mountainous runoff change characteristics and impacts of climatic change and human activities on it.The results showed that: (1) The mountainous runoff of Shiyang River Basin experienced a weak decreasing trend,while the mountainous runoff of Heihe and Shulehe River Basin showed a significant increasing trend during 1961-2010.Significant mutation of annual runoff of Heihe and Shulehe River Basin was detected by Mann-Kendall test.(2) There were four wet-dry processes for runoff of Shiyang and Heihe River Basin.Two wet-dry regime variations of Shulehe River Basin runoff was found during 1961-2010.(3) Three insignificant periodic oscillations (5-year,22-year and 15-year) existed in annual mountainous runoff of Shiyang,Heihe and Shulehe River Basin respectively by Morlet wavelet analysis.(4) Double mass curve for rainfall and runoff depth revealed that annual rainfall had a dormant impact on the changes in annual mountainous runoff of Hexi Corridor,contrasted with human activities.(5) Annual trend of mountainous runoff in study area was persistent.R/S analysis indicated Heihe and Shulehe River had a strong increasing trend,while Shiyang River had a weak decreasing trend in the near future.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147785
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 兰州大学资源环境学院, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张晓晓,张钰,徐浩杰,等. 河西走廊三大内陆河流域出山径流变化特征及其影响因素分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2014-01-01,28(4):100-110
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