globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5185713
论文题名:
气候变化和人类活动对泾河上游径流的影响
其他题名: Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Runoff in the Upper Reaches of Jinghe River
作者: 党素珍; 董国涛; 蒋晓辉; 何宏谋; 张文鸽
刊名: 南水北调与水利科技
ISSN: 1672-1683
出版年: 2014
卷: 12, 期:4, 页码:106-111
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 人类活动 ; 泾河上游 ; 弹性系数 ; 径流
英文关键词: climate change ; human activities ; upper reaches of Jinghe River Basin ; climate elasticity ; runoff
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 根据泾河上游流域内1973年-2012年水文气象数据,采用气候弹性系数法研究了气候变化和人类活动对径流量的影响。结果表明:泾河年径流呈显著减少趋势,减少速率为-13.1mm/10a,且在1985年前后发生了径流突变;气候变化对泾河上游流域径流减少的贡献率为36.8%~43.8%,而人类活动的贡献率为56.2%~63.2%。可见,气候变化和人类活动均会导致泾河流域上游径流减少,但人类活动是主要驱动力。
英文摘要: The impacts of climate change and human activities on the runoff in the upper reaches of the Jinghe River Basin were investigated using the climate elasticity method based on the hydrological and meteorological data from 1973to 2012.The results showed that the annual runoff decreased significantly with a rate of-13.1mm/10aand an abrupt change occurred around year 1985.The climate change accounted for 36.8%~43.8%to the decreasing in runoff,while human activities accounted for 56.2%~63.2%.Both of the climate change and human activities can result in the decline of runoff in the upper reaches of the Jinghe River Basin,but human activities played a dominant role.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148034
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 黄河水利委员会黄河水利科学研究院, 郑州, 河南 450003, 中国

Recommended Citation:
党素珍,董国涛,蒋晓辉,等. 气候变化和人类活动对泾河上游径流的影响[J]. 南水北调与水利科技,2014-01-01,12(4):106-111
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