globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5135282
论文题名:
西藏那曲地区40多年来降水趋势变化气候分析
其他题名: Climatic Trends of Precipitation over More Than 40 Years in Nagqu of Northern Tibet Plateau
作者: 洛桑卓玛; 拉巴; 巴丹卓玛
刊名: 山地学报
ISSN: 1008-2786
出版年: 2014
卷: 32, 期:3, 页码:1089-1098
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 西藏那曲地区 ; 降水量 ; 降水日数 ; 趋势变化 ; 突变检测
英文关键词: Nagqu of Tibet ; precipitation ; the number of precipitation days ; trends ; mutation detection
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用藏北高原西藏那曲地区6个气象站19712011年逐年月降水量、降水日数资料,通过线性倾向估计、多阶曲线模拟和Mann-Kendall法等气候统计学诊断方法,对近41年来降水趋势变化的地理分布以及年内、年际变化规律进行了分析,并进行突变检测。结果表明:近41年来,那曲地区年降水量总体呈增加趋势,经历了由偏少到偏多的2个周期;降水增加夏季最明显,各站在6.48~20.40mm/(10a),冬季变化很小;日降水量≥0.1mm日数年际周期变化与降水量变化基本一致,增加趋势空间分布呈东南向西北递减形势;自1996年开始各站降水增加趋势明显,1999年发生气候突变可能性较大。
英文摘要: This paper investigated the spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation during 1971 to 2011 in Nagqu Prefecture of Northern Tibet Plateau,China based on the monthly precipitation and the annual number of precipitation days at 6 meteorological stations and climatic statistic methods, including linear tendency evaluation,multistage curve simulation and the Mann - Kendall test. Results show that annual precipitation exhibits increasing trend in the past 41 years which experienced two periods from less precipitation to more precipitation. The increase of precipitation in summer is quite obvious with 6. 48 to 20. 40 mm increment per decade while the variation is pretty small in winter. The interannual distribution of number of days with daily precipitation larger than 0. 1 mm is basically has same variation with the annual precipitation. The spatial distribution of precipitation decreases from the southeast to the northwest parts of Tibet. The precipitation start to increase from 1996 at each meteorological stations and it has greater possibility of abrupt climate change in 1999.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148150
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 西藏那曲地区气象局, 那曲, 西藏 852000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
洛桑卓玛,拉巴,巴丹卓玛. 西藏那曲地区40多年来降水趋势变化气候分析[J]. 山地学报,2014-01-01,32(3):1089-1098
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