globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5103660
论文题名:
GM(1, N)与GM(0, N)模型在能源消费碳排放预测中的比较研究
其他题名: GM (1, N) and GM (0, N) Model to Predict the Energy Consumption of Carbon Emissions
作者: 张勇1; 刘婵2; 姚亚平3
刊名: 数学的实践与认识
ISSN: 1000-0984
出版年: 2014
卷: 44, 期:5, 页码:1140-1148
语种: 中文
中文关键词: GM(1, N)模型 ; GM(0, N)模型 ; 能源消费 ; 碳排放 ; 比较
英文关键词: GM (1, N) model ; GM (0, N) model ; energy consumption ; carbon emissions ; comparation
WOS学科分类: MATHEMATICS
WOS研究方向: Mathematics
中文摘要: 近年来,减少碳排放已成为缔约国家社会经济发展和生产经营活动的重要目标之一,研究并使用科学的方法对我国未来碳排放进行分析与预测对我国应对气候变化政策的制定具有重要意义.拟将GM(1,N)和GM(0,N)模型用于能源消费碳排放量的预测,建立能源消费碳排放量的多因素灰色预测模型,并对GM(1,N)和GM(0,N)模型预测能源消费碳排放量的精度进行了检验和对比分析.结果表明:在对四川省能源消费碳排放预测中,GM(0,N)具有更高的预测精度和可靠性.
英文摘要: In recent years, reducing carbon emissions has become one of the important goals of socio-economic development of the Contracting States and production activities, and the use of scientific methods to research the future of China's carbon emissions and forecast on China's response to the development of climate changing policies is important.This article intends to apply GM (1, N) and GM (0, N) model to forecast energy consumption of carbon emissions, and establish multi-factor gray forecasting model, test and comparatively analyse the accuracy of predictions by using GM (1, N) and GM (0,N) model.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148372
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.西南科技大学国家大学科技园, 绵阳, 四川 621010, 中国
2.西南科技大学经济管理学院, 绵阳, 四川 621010, 中国
3.西南科技大学,材料科学与工程学院, 绵阳, 四川 621010, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张勇,刘婵,姚亚平. GM(1, N)与GM(0, N)模型在能源消费碳排放预测中的比较研究[J]. 数学的实践与认识,2014-01-01,44(5):1140-1148
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[张勇]'s Articles
[刘婵]'s Articles
[姚亚平]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[张勇]'s Articles
[刘婵]'s Articles
[姚亚平]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[张勇]‘s Articles
[刘婵]‘s Articles
[姚亚平]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.