globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5161214
论文题名:
北京地区近地层风能资源的气候变异及下垫面改变的影响
其他题名: INFLUENCE OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES OF THE NEAR-SURFACE WIND ENERGY POTENTIAL OVER BEIJING
作者: 郑祚芳1; 高华1; 刘伟东2
刊名: 太阳能学报
ISSN: 0254-0096
出版年: 2014
卷: 35, 期:5, 页码:1160-1166
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 风能资源 ; 气候变化 ; 人类活动 ; 主成分分析 ; 北京
英文关键词: wind power ; climate change ; human activities ; principal component analysis ; Beijing
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 应用近40年北京区域内20个气象站观测风场资料,分析该地区近地层风能资源的气候变异特点,并定量估计人类活动对近地层风能蕴藏的影响。结果表明:①北京地区近地层平均风速在月际尺度上为单峰型结构,并具有明显的年际及年代际变化特征。近40年来平均风速呈减弱趋势,距中心城区越近的站点,风速减弱趋势越明显;②北京地区风能资源主要以佛爷顶、延庆、昌平等西北部和西部山区蕴藏最丰富,具有一定的开发潜力,但呈现逐渐减少趋势;③自然气候变化是导致北京地区近地层风能资源减少的主要因素。此外,下垫面人为改变对风能资源的减少亦有重要影响,其贡献占总比例约27.1%,这种影响在20世纪90年代后期以来表现尤为明显。
英文摘要: Based on the wind field observation data in Beijing from 1971 to 2010, the influence of climate change and human activities of near-surface wind energy power were investigated, by using the linear-trend estimate and the principal component analysis method. The results showed that ① The curve of monthly variations of near-surface wind speed in Beijing is unimodal distribution during last 40 years.② The near-surface wind speed have significant difference at interannual and interdecadal change,it showed a weakly decreasing tendency over the 40 years at a rate of 0. 096m/s per 10 years. The areas distance more near the urban center, wind speed weakening tendency more obvious.③ The western and northwest coteau in Beijing region have abundant near-surface wind energy power reserve and should be considered as the preferential areas,while the other regions have really poor reserves.④ Results show that the physioclimate change and human activities are the main cause of the near-surface wind energy power decreased around 60. 2% and 27. 1%,respectively.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148464
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.中国气象局北京城市气象研究所, 北京 100089, 中国
2.北京市气象局, 北京 100089, 中国

Recommended Citation:
郑祚芳,高华,刘伟东. 北京地区近地层风能资源的气候变异及下垫面改变的影响[J]. 太阳能学报,2014-01-01,35(5):1160-1166
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