globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5325149
论文题名:
川西北高原气候变化特征研究
其他题名: A Study on the Characteristics of Climate Change on Northwestern Sichuan Plateau
作者: 张虹娇
刊名: 西南大学学报. 自然科学版
ISSN: 1673-9868
出版年: 2014
卷: 36, 期:12, 页码:1171-1178
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; Mann-Kendall突变检测 ; Morlet小波分析 ; 川西北高原
英文关键词: GIS ; climate change ; Mann-Kendall mutation detection ; Morlet wavelet analysis ; northwestern plateau of Sichuan ; GIS
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用川西高原31个气象观测站1961-2010年的观测资料,采用GIS技术、线性趋势法、Mann-Kendall突变检测和Morlet小波分析方法,详细分析了川西北高原气候的空间分布及其变化特征.结果表明:(1)川西北高原气候年际变化特征明显.全区域年平均温度呈升高趋势,以冬季升高最为明显;年日照时数总体上呈减少趋势,以夏季减少率最大;年降水量总体上呈增加趋势,以春季增加率最多.(2)川西高原气候存在明显的年代际变化特征,从1960s以来年平均温度呈现增加趋势,尤以2000s以后增加明显;年日照时数是一增两减一增;年降水量的年代际变化特征是一减两增一减.(3)年平均温度和日照时数的突变年分别出现在1993年和1991年,年降水量的突变点出现在1984年.(4)年平均温度存在10a和21a的主周期变化,年日照时数存在40a的主周期变化,年降水量存在4a和10a的主周期变化.研究结果为该区域应对气候变化决策提供了科学参考依据.
英文摘要: In order to provide a science-based reference for decision-making in responding to climate changes on Sichuan Northwestern Plateau,a research was conducted,in which GIS technology,the linear trend method,Mann-Kendall mutation detection and Morlet wavelet analysis were used to make a detailed study of the spatial distribution and climate variation,based on the data of 31 meteorological observation stations of the region from 1961 to 2010.The results showed that the climate on the plateau exhibited an obvious interannual variation:annual average temperature showed an increasing trend across the region,especially in winter,annual sunshine time a decreasing trend,especially in summer,and annual precipitation an increasing trend,especially in spring.The climate in this region also exhibited an obvious interdecadal variation: Since the 1960s,annual average temperature showed an increasing trend,especially after 2000,annual sunshine increased in the 1960s and the 2000s and decreased in the middle,and annual precipitation interdecadal variability is characterized byone decrease-two increases-one decrease.Mutations in annual average temperature,sunshine hours and annual precipitation occurred in 1993,1991 and 1984,respectively. The primary cycle was 10a and 21a for annual average temperature,40a for annual sunshine hours and 4a and 10a for annual precipitation.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148520
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 四川省气象局气象服务中心, 成都, 四川 610072, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张虹娇. 川西北高原气候变化特征研究[J]. 西南大学学报. 自然科学版,2014-01-01,36(12):1171-1178
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