globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5176562
论文题名:
19812010年拉萨市降水特征分析
其他题名: Analysis on Change Characteristics of Precipitation in Lhasa from 1981 to 2010
作者: 尼玛吉1; 杨勇1; 次珍2; 次仁央宗1
刊名: 中国农学通报
ISSN: 1000-6850
出版年: 2014
卷: 30, 期:17, 页码:123-130
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 拉萨市 ; 降水变化趋势 ; 分析
英文关键词: Lhasa City ; the change of the precipitation ; analysis
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 为了给拉萨市年际或更长时间的降水预测提供参考,并了解其降水气候变化的背景情况。利用拉萨市19812010年4个台站逐年降水资料,通过距平、滑动平均、趋势系数、突变分析、小波分析等方法,初步分析了拉萨市年降水量的变化特征。结果表明:近30年来,拉萨市降水量呈现前枯后丰的形态,年降水量总体上为上升趋势;从各站分析,春季、夏季以及全年降水量呈上升趋势,冬季除墨竹工卡以外,其余各站表现为下降趋势;拉萨市降水突变于1987年,在21世纪初增多趋势显著;年降水周期存在2个特征时间尺度,即2~4年、3~5年,均通过显著性检验,其中以准3年的年际振荡周期最为明显。从灾情看,无明显的特旱、特涝、重旱和重涝年,正常年份占51%,轻涝年出现的几率较轻旱年稍偏高。
英文摘要: In order to provide a reference for the interannual or longer-term precipitation in Lhasa, and to understand the background of climate change on precipitation, based on the annual precipitation data recorded 4 meterological stations in Lhasa during the period from1981 to 2010, methods such as anomaly, 5-year moving average, the trend coefficient, the Mann- Kendall and wavelet analysis were used to analyze the characteristics of precipitation in Lhasa. The results indicated that: annual precipitation increased in the past 30 years. Annual, spring and summer s precipitation of each stations in Lhasa showed an increase trend, winter precipitation in most areas were a decrease trend. The precipitation s mutation in Lhasa occurred in the late of 1980s. There was a significant 2-4 years and 3-5 years of frequency of annual rainfall. There was no serious dryness and wetness events occurred in Lhasa, most of the years were normal and small floods event was easily to happen.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148744
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.西藏自治区气候中心, 拉萨, 西藏 850000, 中国
2.拉萨市气象局, 拉萨, 西藏 850000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
尼玛吉,杨勇,次珍,等. 19812010年拉萨市降水特征分析[J]. 中国农学通报,2014-01-01,30(17):123-130
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