globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5174304
论文题名:
安徽省气候变化背景下降水量对粮食产量的影响
其他题名: Effect of Precipitation on Grain Yield on the Background of Climate Changes in Anhui Province
作者: 高金兰1; 马晓群2; 许莹2
刊名: 中国农学通报
ISSN: 1000-6850
出版年: 2014
卷: 30, 期:18, 页码:123-130
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 安徽省 ; 气候变化 ; 粮食产量
英文关键词: Anhui Province ; climate change ; grain yield
WOS学科分类: AGRONOMY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 为掲示安徽省不同区域气温和降水的气候变化趋势及其对粮食单产的影响,利用安徽省78个县1971-2010年气象数据和1991-2010年粮食单产,运用统计分析法,分析安徽省气候变化背景下降水量对粮食产量的影响。结果表明:气温随时间升高趋势明显,但是年际变化率相对较小;降水量无显著的时间变化趋势,但年际波动大;北部降水量少于南部,但是变异系数较南部更大。因此产量波动主要由水分条件不稳定所导致,北部更甚于南部。4个区域作物积极生长期3-9月最适宜降水量由北向南分别为400~800、400?1000、500~1000、800~1400 mm。由于作物的积极生长期与降水量偏多的时段同步,降水量偏多对产量的不利影响显著,特别是降水量最多的IV区。
英文摘要: In order to reveal different region temperature and precipitation of climate change tendency and unit area grain yield influence in Anhui Province, based on meteorological data from 1971 to 1990 and unit area grain yield from 1991 to 2010 in 78 counties Anhui Province. On the background of climate changes in Anhui Province, the author analyzed the effect of precipitation on grain yield by adopting mathematical statistics. The results showed that; temperature rose obviously, but inter-annual variation was relatively small. Precipitation had no significant trend variation, but the inter-annual fluctuation was large. The northern precipitation was less than the south, but the variation coefficient was greater than the south. So output fluctuation was mainly caused by unstable water condition. From March to September optimum precipitation in positive growth phase, which 4 region crops was respectively to 400-800, 400-1000, 500-1000, 800-1400 mm from north to south. Actively growing period crops and precipitation were bullish which were synchronal. Precipitation was bullish that was produced adverse effected by output, especially of 4 regions.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148747
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.安徽省寿县气象局, 寿县, 安徽 232200, 中国
2.安徽省气象科学研究所, 安徽省大气科学与卫星遥感重点实验室, 合肥, 安徽 230031, 中国

Recommended Citation:
高金兰,马晓群,许莹. 安徽省气候变化背景下降水量对粮食产量的影响[J]. 中国农学通报,2014-01-01,30(18):123-130
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