globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5306335
论文题名:
近60年农业生产期干旱发生风险分析
其他题名: Analysis on Risk of Agricultural Drought During Crops Growing Period over Nearly 60 Years
作者: 张国林; 戴海燕; 隋景跃
刊名: 中国农学通报
ISSN: 1000-6850
出版年: 2014
卷: 30, 期:32, 页码:1241-1247
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 降水量 ; 耗水量 ; 干湿指数 ; 满足度 ; 干旱
英文关键词: precipitation ; water consumption ; humidity index ; satisfaction ; drought
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 采用叶柏寿、朝阳气象站19532012年气象资料,运用积分湿度指数、水平衡和干湿指数,评价辽西地区农业生产期大气降水及农业耗水、农业需水的满足度及不同时期旱涝频率。结果表明:19532012年农业生产期大气降水减少,气候变化率为-9.343 mm/10 a;农业耗水量在增加,气候变化率为6.966 mm/10 a;农业生产期水分平均亏缺-136 mm。降水资源农业满足度为76.3%,缺水概率为90.0%。辽西地区农业生产期属于半湿润半干旱气候类型,重旱及以上年景占5.0%;干旱发生风险近10年增加约10%。总之,辽西地区降水在减少、耗水在增加、农业需水满足度在下降、干旱发生风险在增强。近10年随着气候变暖辽西地区农业生长期从半干旱半湿润气候类型升级为半干旱气候类型。
英文摘要: The author adopted meteorological data from meteorological stations in Yebaishou and Liaoxi from 1953 to 2012 to assess and evaluate agricultural water consumption, atmospheric precipitation, and agricultural water demand satisfaction in Liaoxi area during agricultural production, as well as frequency of drought in different periods by integral humidity index, water balance and humidity index. The results showed that: from 1953 to 2012, the atmospheric precipitation decreased during agricultural production, climate change rate was -9.343 mm/10 a; agricultural water consumption increased, and climate change rate was 6.996 mm/10 a; the average humidity gap during agricultural production period was - 136 mm. The agricultural satisfaction of precipitation resource was 76.3%, and the probability of precipitation shortage was 90.0%. In Liaoxi, the climate during agricultural production period was semi- humid and semi- arid, years with severe drought and more accounted for 5.0 %; over past 10 years, drought risk increased by about 10%. Generally,rainfall was reducing in west Liaoning, but the water consumption was increasing, agricultural water demand satisfaction was declining, drought risk was growing. With climate warming in west Liaoning, the climate during crops growing period was transforming from semi- humid and semi- arid climate to semi- arid climate over recent 10 years.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148772
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 辽宁省朝阳市气象局, 朝阳, 辽宁 122000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张国林,戴海燕,隋景跃. 近60年农业生产期干旱发生风险分析[J]. 中国农学通报,2014-01-01,30(32):1241-1247
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