globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5066797
论文题名:
开都河流域气候变化特征及其对径流的影响
其他题名: Climate change characteristics and impacts on surface runoff in the Kaidu River Basin
作者: 张玉娜1; 徐长春1; 李卫红2; 赵杰1
刊名: 中国水土保持科学
ISSN: 1672-3007
出版年: 2014
卷: 12, 期:1, 页码:1264-1270
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 径流 ; 趋势 ; 突变 ; 开都河流域
英文关键词: climate change ; runoff ; trend ; abrupt change ; Kaidu River Basin
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 采用Mann-Kendall趋势及突变检验、R/S的Hurst指数以及线性回归、滑动平均等方法,分析开都河流域1960-2010年的气温、降水及径流量指标,揭示该流域气候变化及径流响应的特征和长期趋势。结果表明,开都河流域近50年的气温、降水及径流量均呈显著增加趋势,增长率分别为0.027℃/a、0.863mm/a和0.625m~3/a,其相应的突变年份分别为1993、1986和1996年。流域内山区既是气温增温最大的地区,也是降水增加最显著的地区。在气候变暖背景下,山区年均温及春、夏、秋3季升温比绿洲区的响应更为显著,但在绿洲区冬季升温则更为显著;山区降水量增加趋势较绿洲区显著。在过去50年,开都河径流突变前后多年平均径流量增加了9.96亿m~3,对该流域工农业发展、生活以及生态可持续发展产生了很大的影响。
英文摘要: Based on the data of temperature, precipitation and runoff time series from 1960 to 2010 in the Kaidu River Basin, this paper revealed the regional climate and runoff variation characteristics by using the Mann-Kendall trend and abrupt change test, R/S method, linear regression and moving average methods. The results showed that the temperature, precipitation and runoff in the Kaidu River Basin presented an increasing trend with a growth rate of 0.027℃/a, 0.863mm/a and 0.625m~3/a, respectively. The corresponding years of abrupt change were 1993, 1986 and 1996, respectively. In the mountainous area, both temperature and precipitation increased most remarkably. Under the warming climate, the average annual, spring, summer and autumn temperature in the oasis area increased more obviously than those in the mountainous area, but in the oasis area, winter temperature increased more significantly; the precipitation in mountainous area increased more significantly than that in the oasis. In the past fifty years, the runoff of Kaidu River Basin had increased by 9.96*10~8m~3, which had a great effect on industrial and agricultural development, daily life and ecological sustainable development of Kaidu River Basin.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148859
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.新疆大学资源与环境科学学院, 绿洲生态教育部重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830046, 中国
2.中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所, 荒漠与绿洲生态国家重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830011, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张玉娜,徐长春,李卫红,等. 开都河流域气候变化特征及其对径流的影响[J]. 中国水土保持科学,2014-01-01,12(1):1264-1270
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