globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5262935
论文题名:
气候变化和人类活动对洮河流域植被动态的影响研究
其他题名: Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Dynamics in Two Geo-Ecologic Regions in the Taohe River Basin,Northwest China
作者: 杨林山1; 李常斌1; 王帅兵1; 杨文瑾2
刊名: 资源科学
ISSN: 1007-7588
出版年: 2014
卷: 36, 期:9, 页码:1275-1288
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 植被动态 ; 气候变化 ; 人类活动 ; 洮河流域
英文关键词: NDVI ; vegetation dynamics ; NDVI ; climate change ; human activities ; Taohe River Basin
WOS学科分类: MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
中文摘要: 通过逐象元回归和一致性检验构建1981-2010年间洮河流域NDVI序列,整编同期气温、降水等资料,采用Sen斜率、主成分、相关性及回归残差分析等方法,就洮河流域不同地理-生态区间植被动态的时空特征及所受气候变化和人类活动的影响进行研究.结果表明,1981-2010年期间,洮河流域植被动态总体增强且空间分异明显,甘南高原植被动态增强幅度高于黄土区.从植被季节变化的趋势和幅度来看,甘南高原主要表现为植被萌发期提前,黄土区表现为萌发期提前和枯萎期延迟.在气温和降水所代表的水热要素与NDVI之间构建植被动态预测模式,率定和校验期精度良好,能够反映不同生态-地理区间植被动态与气候变化之间的数量关系.总体来看,洮河流域植被变化由气候和人类活动共同驱动,气候模式输出和残差分析结果表明,洮河流域植被动态受气候因素的影响显著,气候变化对洮河流域植被活动增强的贡献率超过90%.
英文摘要: Climate change and human activities have controlled and influenced all kinds of land surface processes. In order to investigate the impacts of climate change and human activities on regional vegetation dynamics,we combined AVHRR NDVI (1981-2006) and MODIS NDVI (2001-2010) to extract the full time series for vegetation dynamics from 1981-2010 across the Taohe River Basin(TRB). Air temperature and precipitation data from gauge stations during the same period were compiled to regress relationships between climate impacts and vegetation changes,and the Sen's slope was adopted to analyze trend variations in vegetation index and climatic factors. Principal Component Analysis and correlation analysis were used to detect and select key factors with high sensitivity to vegetation dynamics and the regression residual method was used to assess the impacts of human activities on vegetation dynamics. The results suggests that vegetation activity was strengthened across the whole TRB,while the magnitude of increase on the Gannan Plateau (southern Gansu) was higher than on the Loess Plateau,with significant heterogeneity in both time and space. Climate change has led to the variations in the vegetation growing season. There was a very high probability that germination was shifted earlier in both regions,while the withering or dormant season was delayed on the Loess Plateau. On the whole,regional vegetation dynamics in the TRB were due to the combined effects of climate change and human activities. The regression expressions showed good performance with high Nash coefficients and correlation coefficients during calibration and validation. The increase in air temperature contributed more to vegetation change than other climatic factors. Human activities exerted trivial effects on vegetation dynamics,and more than 90% was the result of climate change.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148899
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.兰州大学资源环境学院, 西部环境教育部重点实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国
2.兰州大学, 西部环境教育部重点实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
杨林山,李常斌,王帅兵,等. 气候变化和人类活动对洮河流域植被动态的影响研究[J]. 资源科学,2014-01-01,36(9):1275-1288
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[杨林山]'s Articles
[李常斌]'s Articles
[王帅兵]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[杨林山]'s Articles
[李常斌]'s Articles
[王帅兵]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[杨林山]‘s Articles
[李常斌]‘s Articles
[王帅兵]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.