globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5146529
论文题名:
基于湿润指数的19602011年中国西南地区地表干湿变化特征
其他题名: Characteristics of Southwestern China Dry-wet Condition Based onWetness Index in 1960-2011
作者: 王允1; 刘普幸1; 曹立国2; 高原1; 雍国正1
刊名: 自然资源学报
ISSN: 1000-3037
出版年: 2014
卷: 29, 期:5, 页码:1291-1301
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 湿润指数 ; Penman-Monteith模型 ; 西南地区
英文关键词: climate change ; humidity index ; Penman-Monteith model ; Southwest China
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 基于西南地区108个气象站点19602011年逐日气温、降水、风速、日照时数和相对湿度数据,应用Penman-Monteith 模型计算出潜在蒸散量以及地表湿润指数,并结合气候倾向率、 ArcGIS 反距离加权插值、滑动t 检验、Morlet 小波周期分析等方法,分析了研究区地表干湿状况时空变化特征及空间差异。结果表明:近52 a 来,西南地区湿润指数在波动中呈降低趋势,其变化倾向率为-0.005/10 a,趋于干旱,其中变湿增幅以1990年代最大,距平值为0.106,变干增幅却以21世纪最显著,为-0.052,特别是在2002年以后,湿润指数大幅下降,最低值出现在2009年,为1.41;年湿润指数存在明显的空间差异,表现为:自东南向西北、自南向北递减,川西高原和云贵高原西部为低值中心,高值中心在四川盆地西部;变干地区多于变湿地区,且各年代变干幅度大于变湿幅度。突变和Morlet 小波功率谱分析表明,西南地区地表干湿状况在1990、2003年发生突变,且存在10.638 a的周期。
英文摘要: Based on the daily data from108 meteorological stations in Southwest China during1960 to 2011, as well as use of the monthly potential evapotranspiration and monthly precipitation data, the surface humidity index was calculated. The temporal and spatial variation characteristics of surface humidity index were analysized by using the methods of Inverse Distance Weighted interpolation in ArcGIS 9.3, moving t-test technique, climate tendency rate and Morlet wavelet. The results show that: in recent 52 years, the surface humidity index in Southwest China is decreasing in fluctuation and the decreasing rate is -0.005/10 a, which showed the slightly trend to drought. The 1990s have the greatest increase in change to wet and the anomaly value is 0.106. The 21st century witnesses the most significant increase in desiccation and the anomaly value is -0.052. Especially after 2002, surface humidity index drops significantly, the minimum value appears in 2009 and the anomaly value is 1.41. Annual humidity index exists obvious differences in space. The surface humidity index not only decreases from southeast to northwest, but also from south to north. Western Sichuan Plateau and the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau are the low center value while the high value center is in the western Sichuan Basin. The area turning to be dry is larger than to be wet in the study area, correspondingly, the process of turning to be dry is more obvious than that of wet. Abrupt change analysis and Morlet wavelet power spectrum analysis indicated that surface dry and wet conditions in Southwest China have abrupt change events in 1990 and 2003 with a period 10.638 years.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148932
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院, 兰州, 甘肃 730070, 中国
2.南京大学, 海岸与海岛开发教育部重点实验室, 南京, 江苏 210046, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王允,刘普幸,曹立国,等. 基于湿润指数的19602011年中国西南地区地表干湿变化特征[J]. 自然资源学报,2014-01-01,29(5):1291-1301
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