globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5630356
论文题名:
气候变化影响与风险评估方法的研究进展
其他题名: Research progress on climate change impact and risk assessment method
作者: 彭鹏1; 张韧1; 洪梅1; 王锋2; 龙强2
刊名: 大气科学学报
ISSN: 1674-7097
出版年: 2015
卷: 38, 期:2, 页码:1327-1339
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 风险评估 ; 脆弱性/敏感性 ; 不确定性
英文关键词: climate change ; risk assessment ; vulnerability /sensitivity ; uncertainty
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 气候变化影响是指气候变化背景下社会经济或资源环境的响应。气候变化风险是指由于气候变化所引起的社会经济或资源环境的可能损失。气候变化风险评估是对气候变化影响的定性和对风险的量化。针对气候变化风险评估方法的原理和技术体系,本文从风险指数、风险概率和脆弱性评估三个方面,对研究现状、热点问题和通常方法进行了评述,并对当前研究中存在的问题和未来需求进行了归纳和展望。
英文摘要: Climate change impact refers to the responses of social economy and resources environment to climate change. Climate change risk refers to the possible losses of social economy and resources environment caused by climate change. Climate change risk assessment means the qualitative climate change impact and the quantitative climate change risk. Aiming at the principle and technical system of climate change risk assessment method,current research status,hot issues and common approaches are remarked from three aspects,namely the risk index,the risk probability and the vulnerability. Research gaps and priorities are also discussed.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149069
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作者单位: 1.解放军理工大学气象海洋学院, 南京, 江苏 211104, 中国
2.河北省唐山市曹妃甸工业区气象局, 唐山, 河北 063200, 中国

Recommended Citation:
彭鹏,张韧,洪梅,等. 气候变化影响与风险评估方法的研究进展[J]. 大气科学学报,2015-01-01,38(2):1327-1339
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