globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5387754
论文题名:
GRACE重力卫星探测南极冰盖质量平衡及其不确定性
其他题名: Ice sheet mass balance in Antarctica measured by GRACE and its uncertainty
作者: 高春春1; 陆洋1; 张子占1; 史红岭2; 朱传东1
刊名: 地球物理学报
ISSN: 0001-5733
出版年: 2015
卷: 58, 期:3, 页码:137-141,145
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 南极冰盖 ; 质量平衡 ; 不确定性 ; 后处理方法
英文关键词: GRACE ; Antarctic Ice Sheet ; Mass balance ; GRACE ; Uncertainty ; Post-processing method
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 2002年GRACE重力卫星的成功发射为南极冰盖质量平衡的研究提供了重力探测的新纪元.本文利用美国德克萨斯大学CSR公布的2003年1月到2013年12月期间的RL05版本GRACE月重力场数据,采用最优平均核函数法和组合滤波法两种GRACE后处理方法反演了南极冰盖质量的时空变化.结果表明:在2003-2013年期间南极冰盖物质平衡呈明显的负增长状态,质量变化趋势为-16350 Gt/a(GW13)、- 12941 Gt/a(IJ05)、-81 27 Gt/a(W12a),加速度为-810 Gt/a~2,质量消融的主要区域分布在西南极阿蒙森海岸和南极半岛的北部.另外本文还重点探讨了可能影响到估算结果的各项误差及不确定性,分析结果显示影响南极冰盖质量平衡估算结果的最大误差源为GIA改正.通过假设检验和信息准则对时间序列分析中拟合参数的合理选取进行了探讨和分析,在联合周年项、半年项和S2、K2、K1潮汐混频项进行拟合分析时发现K1项对拟合结果的加速度影响比其他周期项稍大,尽管考虑该项的合理性因当前GRACE数据时间序列长度有限而无法确切证实,但K1项的影响值得后续关注.对比两种GRACE后处理方法的结果发现:当采用的数据时间跨度一致,误差改正方法相同,两种相异的后处理方法,其估算结果也具有较好的一致性.
英文摘要: As a critical component of the cryosphere, the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) has strong connection with the sea level change and global climate change. Accurate quantification of the current spatial and temporal mass changes of AIS is very important to improve our understanding and prediction of its response and contribution to global change. The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission has provided new and useful observations to detect AIS mass balance since its launch in March 2002. There are significant differences among the GRACE estimates of the total mass change. The big difference is due in part to considerable uncertainty in the accuracy of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) signals,and also due to use of different time spans, different versions of GRACE products and different GRACE post-processing methods. Using 124 monthly GRACE gravity field solutions of Release 5 (RL05) produced at the Center for Space Research (CSR) of the University of Texas,Austin, spanning the interval from January of 2003 through December of 2013,the mass balance of AIS is estimated by two postprocessing ways : the optimizing averaging kernel method (also named VW) and the combined filter method (the first step is called P5M11 decorrelation filter to remove correlated noise by fitting and subtracting a fifth-order polynomial to even and odd coefficient pairs at spherical harmonic orders eleven and above,the second involves smoothing with a 250 km Gaussian filter). A detailed error analysis is provided including consideration of leakage-in, leakage-out, and errors in modeling mass variations of the atmosphere, ocean and GIA. In addition, a statistical model selection criterion is employed in computation of trends from mass variation time series,and the impact of K1 tidal alias is analyzed. The results reveal that during 2003-2013,the total mass of the ice sheet decreased significantly at change rates of -163 + 50, -129 + 41 and -81 + 27 Gt/a for three GIA models:GW13,IJ05,W12a. There was a distinct region with mass loss in the Amundsen Sea Embayment of West Antarctic ice sheet and the Northern Antarctic Peninsula, while an increasing mass gain was concentrated in the Dronning Maud Land and the Enderby Land of East Antarctic ice sheet. Furthermore,we use hypotheses testing and information criteria evaluation to select the best trend model fitting together with sinusoidal functions of annual (365. 0-d) and semi-annual (181. 0-d) signals and the S2 (161. 0-d),K1 (2725. 4-d) and K2 (1362. 7-d) tidal aliases. We found that K1 tidal alias has a potential to falsify the acceleration estimates. Although it is not good enough to confirm the K1 tidal alias based on an eleven-year time-series, the impact of K1 tidal alias deserves further notice.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149189
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.中国科学院测量与地球物理研究所, 大地测量与地球动力学国家重点实验室, 武汉, 湖北 430077, 中国
2.中国科学院测量与地球物理研究所, 大地测量与地球动力学国家重点实验室
3.极地测绘科学国家测绘局重点实验室
4.地理空间信息工程国家测绘地理信息局重点实验室, 武汉, 湖北 430077, 中国

Recommended Citation:
高春春,陆洋,张子占,等. GRACE重力卫星探测南极冰盖质量平衡及其不确定性[J]. 地球物理学报,2015-01-01,58(3):137-141,145
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