globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5395638
论文题名:
呼图壁河径流过程对气候变化的响应
其他题名: Response of Hutubi river runoff process on climate change
作者: 魏天锋; 刘志辉; 姚俊强; 习阿幸; 张润
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2015
卷: 29, 期:4, 页码:1429-1442
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 径流 ; Mann-Kendall检验 ; 相关性分析 ; 突变点检验 ; 呼图壁河
英文关键词: runoff ; Mann-Kendall test ; correlation analysis ; inspection of mutation point ; Hutubi river
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 为了研究呼图壁河径流过程对气候变化的响应,文中对石门水文站和呼图壁县气象局1978~2011年日径流、降水、温度数据进行了统计分析,采用Mann-Kendall法对年天然径流进行了突变趋势检验,并将变点前后的径流量与流域气温、降水进行相关性分析,得出:(1)年径流量在1987年发生突变,变点前呈下降趋势,变点后呈上升趋势,其中1998~2004年上升显著。(2)变点后径流量年际变幅增大、枯水年变少;径流量年内变化不均匀、变幅大。(3)温度、降水与径流量均呈正相关,相关系数均在0.58以上,且温度对径流变化的贡献率更大,这说明高山冰雪融水是呼图壁河的主要补给方式,随着高山区冰雪储量的减少,呼图壁河的生态安全将会受到很大威胁。
英文摘要: The daily data of runoff,precipitation and temperature from 1978 to 2011 in Shimen hydrological station and weather bureau of Hutubi county were used to proceed the statistic analysis,method of Mann-Kendall was applied to analyze the natural runoff trend in Hutubi river and inspection of mutation point,and the correlation between runoff and temperature and precipitation. The result showed the change point of annual runoff for Hutubi river occurred in 1977, runoff in the former period showed decreasing trend and in the latter period showed increasing trend,among which,remarkable increase occurred from 1998 to 2004. In the latter period, inter annual vary range of runoff increased and low flow year decreased; inner-annual changes of runoff showed uneven and big varied range. Runoff with temperature and precipitation showed positive correlation,all the correlation coefficient was above o. 58,and the contribution rate of temperature was greater than that of rainfall on runoff,which showed that ice-snow melting was the main form for feeding of Hutubi river,as the ice-snow storage in alpine zone decreases,Hutubi river eco-system safety will face threaten.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149377
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 新疆大学资源与环境科学学院, 教育部绿洲生态重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830046, 中国

Recommended Citation:
魏天锋,刘志辉,姚俊强,等. 呼图壁河径流过程对气候变化的响应[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2015-01-01,29(4):1429-1442
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