globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5649213
论文题名:
全球变暖背景下青藏高原气温变化的新特征
其他题名: New Characteristics of Temperature Change over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau on the Background of Global Warming
作者: 郑然1; 李栋梁1; 蒋元春2
刊名: 高原气象
ISSN: 1000-0534
出版年: 2015
卷: 34, 期:6, 页码:144-153
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 青藏高原 ; 气温 ; 面积权重 ; M-K检验 ; 海拔
英文关键词: The Qinghai-Xizang Plateau ; Temperature ; Area weight ; M-K test ; Altitude
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用1971-2011年青藏高原81个站点经均一化处理的气温资料,采用面积权重方法对青藏高原近41年气温变化的特征进行了研究。结果表明,青藏高原在1997年存在更为明显的增暖突变,落后于华北(1989年)、东北(1987年)8?10年,比西南、华南(1996年)和华东、西北(1994年)落后1~3年。高原内部的突变发生过程与高原地形有明显的关系,表现为海拔越高,突变发生越晚。此外,突变前后的增暖形式也存在一定的差别,即突变前增暖幅度随海拔的升高而减小,突变后则表现为海拔越高气温倾向率越大,且通过了99%的显著性检验。突变前后高原增暖幅度最大均在冬季,突变后秋、冬季增暖幅度有所减小,夏季有所增大。相比全球近15年增暖趋缓现象,高原在突变后表现为更大幅度的增暖,高原气温与全球气温的同期波动形态相似,两者具有较好相关性。
英文摘要: Based on after homogenization treatment data at 81 stations over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau(QXP) from 1971 to 2011, using of the area weighting method, the new characters of temperature over the QXP for nearly 41 years is researched. The result show that the QXP has a more significant warm mutation in 1997,lag behind the North China (1989), the Northeast China (1987) for 8 ?10 years, and later about 1 ?3 years than south and east and northwest of China. The mutation process in interior plateau has a significant relationship with terrain of the QXP,which performance as the higher the altitude,the later mutation. Besides,the warming form before and after the mutation is different, before the mutation the magnitude of warming decrease with elevation, but after the mutation the increasing tendency of temperature shows as increase with altitude,which by a 99% significant test. The maximum magnitude of the QXP warming no matter after and before mutation is in winter, and after the mutation the magnitude of warming in fall and winter had decreased, but increased in summer. Compared with the slowdown of global warming for recent 15 years,plateau after mutation showed more substantial warming,and the phase of temperature fluctuations over the QXP similar to the global temperature,both have good consistency.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149410
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.南京信息工程大学大气科学学院, 气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心
2.冻土工程国家重点实验室, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国
3.南京信息工程大学大气科学学院, 气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国

Recommended Citation:
郑然,李栋梁,蒋元春. 全球变暖背景下青藏高原气温变化的新特征[J]. 高原气象,2015-01-01,34(6):144-153
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