globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5436407
论文题名:
气候变暖背景下降水量对甜菜夜蛾在中国越冬区的影响
其他题名: Effects of rainfall on overwintering regions of Spodoptera exigua Hubner(Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) under the climate warming in China
作者: 郑霞林1; 黄庆成1; 曹琬筝1; 李俊1; 王国全1; 贤振华1; 王小平2; 陆温1
刊名: 南方农业学报
ISSN: 2095-1191
出版年: 2015
卷: 46, 期:4, 页码:1510-1517
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 冬季气温 ; 降雨 ; 甜菜夜蛾 ; 越冬北界 ; 适合度
英文关键词: winter temperature ; rainfall ; Spodoptera exigua Hubner ; northern overwintering boundary ; fitness
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 【目的】研究冬季气温上升及降水变化对甜菜夜蛾在中国越冬区的影响,为甜菜夜蛾的预测预报及综合治理提供参考依据。【方法】基于Climex和ArcGis软件,采用气候变化模型和Kriging插值法,对冬季气温上升和降水变化后甜菜夜蛾越冬区进行分析。【结果】冬季气温上升1、2和3℃后,甜菜夜蛾越冬北界均向北发生了不同程度的偏移,降水增加-60%、-40%、-20%、0%、+20%、+40%和+60%时,对甜菜夜蛾越冬北界的影响较小,主要影响其在越冬区和常年发生区内的适合度。【结论】冬季气温上升会导致甜菜夜蛾越冬区北界向北偏移,降水主要影响甜菜夜蛾在越冬区和常年发生区内的适合度。
英文摘要: 【Objective】Effects of climate warming and rainfall on overwintering regions of Spodoptera exigua Hubner(Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) in China were studied to provide references for forecasting and controlling this species.【Method】 Climate change scenarios and Kriging within Climex and ArcGis were used to analyze the effects of climate warming and rainfall on overwintering regions of S. exigua in China.【Result】The results showed that the northern overwintering boundary of S. exigua shifted northward after winter temperature had risen 1℃, 2℃ and 3℃. However, the northern overwintering boundary of S. exigua could be less affected by rainfall(-60%,-40%,-20%, 0%, +20%, +40% and +60%), which mainly influenced the fitness of this species in overwintering and perennial damage regions.【Conclusion】The northern overwintering boundary of S. exigua shifts northward after rise in temperature during winter while rainfall affects the fitness of this species in overwintering and perennial damage regions.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149578
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.广西大学农学院, 南宁, 广西 530005, 中国
2.华中农业大学植物科学技术学院, 武汉, 湖北 430070, 中国

Recommended Citation:
郑霞林,黄庆成,曹琬筝,等. 气候变暖背景下降水量对甜菜夜蛾在中国越冬区的影响[J]. 南方农业学报,2015-01-01,46(4):1510-1517
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