globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5405251
论文题名:
气候变化对沼泽面积影响的定量分析
其他题名: Quantitatively Analysis of Impact of Climate Change on Areas of Mires
作者: 张仲胜; 薛振山; 吕宪国
刊名: 湿地科学
ISSN: 1672-5948
出版年: 2015
卷: 13, 期:2, 页码:164-171
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 沼泽面积 ; 气候变化 ; 定量分析 ; 三江平原
英文关键词: wetland ; climate change ; human activity ; quantitatively partition ; the Sanjiang Plain
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 定量判别气候变化对湿地生态系统的影响是目前全球气候变化中的难点与热点问题。基于《中国沼泽志》中沼泽的面积、地理位置、海拔高度和气象因子等资料,初步建立了中国沼泽面积-气候因子之间的关系模型;以三江平原沼泽为例,定量判别气候变化对沼泽面积波动的影响。研究结果表明,气温、降水量和海拔是影响沼泽面积的主要因素,可以通过线性模型模拟沼泽面积的变化;近几十年的气候变化对三江平原沼泽面积具有正效应,其贡献率约为+17%~+30%;非气候因素导致湿地丧失,对三江平原沼泽面积具有负效应,其贡献率为-82%~-70.1%。
英文摘要: It is the hotspot that how to quantitatively partitioning impacts of climate change on wetlands ecosystems. Based on data set of areas of mires, geographical locations, climate parameters collected from the bookMires of China, a model was established to reveal relationships between mire areas and climate and environmental parameters. The results indicated that water-thermal spatial allocations and altitude were the two predominant determining mire areas in China. When applied this model to the Sanjiang Plain, the results implied that climate had a positive effects on mire areas increasing. Climate change in the Sanjiang Plain accounted for 17%-30% of total area change of mires in this zone. Non-climate variables were the main reasons causing decrease of mire areas, occupying -82% to -70.1% of total area change.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149917
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所, 中国科学院湿地生态与环境重点实验室, 长春, 吉林 130102, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张仲胜,薛振山,吕宪国. 气候变化对沼泽面积影响的定量分析[J]. 湿地科学,2015-01-01,13(2):164-171
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