globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5426889
论文题名:
径流对气候变化的响应研究-以黄河上游河源区为例
其他题名: Study on the runoff response to climate change-a case study of source region of the Yellow River
作者: 吕继强1; 沈冰2; 李怀恩2; 姜毅3
刊名: 水力发电学报
ISSN: 1003-1243
出版年: 2015
卷: 34, 期:4, 页码:165-172
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 水文学及水资源 ; 气候变化 ; 径流响应 ; Copula联合分布 ; 黄河上游
英文关键词: hydrology and water resources ; climate change ; hydrology response ; multivariate Copula models ; upper reaches of Yellow River
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 为了研究气候变化对径流的影响,选择黄河上游河源区为典型流域,构建多变量Copula联合分布模型,分析流域内主要气象要素与径流的相互响应关系。通过对多元相依结构分析,得到主要气候变化要素与径流变化的定量关系。结果表明,黄河上游吉迈水文站以上流域,径流受气候变化影响明显。长期以来主要气象要素,气温、降水、潜在蒸发能力(Penman-Monteith公式计算)与径流量的相依度指数分别为0.03、0.46、0.13,且在不同时期影响径流变化的主导因素各异。黄河上游径流受降水、冰雪、冻土融水和地下水共同补给,径流自演化过程复杂。
英文摘要: In order to better understand the runoff response to climate change in the upper reaches of the Yellow River, we develop joint distribution models base on multivariate Copula theory. And obtain the quantitative relationship between the main climate factors and runoff changes through the analysis of multiple dependent structures. The results show that the runoff at the JiMai gauging station affected by climate change obviously. In the past 53 years, the Copula dependent degree index of runoff and major meteorological factors, such as temperature, precipitation, potential-evaporation capacity (Penmanand-Monteith formula) are 0.03, 0.46, 0.13, while the dominant influencing meteorological factors of runoff changes are not the same for different stages. Recharged from precipitation, ice and snow, permafrost melt water and groundwater, the runoff show a complex evolutionary process.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149940
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.西安浐灞生态区博士后科研工作站, 生态水利工程国家重点实验室培育基地, 西安, 陕西 710024, 中国
2.西安理工大学, 生态水利工程国家重点实验室培育基地, 西安, 陕西 710048, 中国
3.西安浐灞生态区管理委员会, 西安, 陕西 710024, 中国

Recommended Citation:
吕继强,沈冰,李怀恩,等. 径流对气候变化的响应研究-以黄河上游河源区为例[J]. 水力发电学报,2015-01-01,34(4):165-172
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[吕继强]'s Articles
[沈冰]'s Articles
[李怀恩]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[吕继强]'s Articles
[沈冰]'s Articles
[李怀恩]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[吕继强]‘s Articles
[沈冰]‘s Articles
[李怀恩]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.