globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5433974
论文题名:
气候平均值变化对辽宁水稻延迟型冷害评估结果的影响
其他题名: Effect of climatic mean value change on the evaluation result of rice delayed cold damage in Liaoning Province,Northeast China
作者: 纪瑞鹏; 于文颖; 武晋雯; 冯锐; 张玉书
刊名: 应用生态学报
ISSN: 1001-9332
出版年: 2015
卷: 26, 期:6, 页码:1729-1735
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候平均值 ; 水稻 ; 延迟型冷害 ; 评估 ; 辽宁
英文关键词: climatic mean value ; rice ; delayed growth-type cold damage ; evaluation ; Liaoning Province
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 5-9月平均气温和的距平值(DeltaT_(5-9))是评估东北地区水稻延迟型冷害的常用指标,但5-9月平均气温和的气候平均值(SigmaT_(5-9))统计年代的变化,是否会影响辽宁水稻延迟型冷害评估结果,还有待进一步研究.本文利用中华人民共和国气象行业标准《水稻冷害评估技术规范》(QX/T182-2013)和补充后的(DeltaT_(5-9)),通过计算辽宁52个气象站1961-1990(S_1)、1971-2000(S_2)、1981-2010(S_3)和1961-2010年(S_4)4个气候年代的SigmaT_(5-9),分别利用冷害发生站数与评估总站数的比值(IOC)和发生频率对辽宁水稻低温冷害时空变化进行分析.结果表明:1961-2010年,辽宁各地水稻生长季的热量条件(即SigmaT_(5-9))明显增加并发生了显著的时空变化;利用二次多项式模型对原有的水稻延迟型冷害评估气象指标进行补充完善.S_2和S_4的气候平均值对研究区水稻延迟型冷害时空规律的判识结果较为相似,但并不完全相同,基于S_3气候平均值计算的IOC变异系数均低于其他3个气候平均值计算的IOC变异系数.与水稻典型减产年相比,利用S_3气候平均值评估研究期间辽宁水稻延迟型冷害的结果更符合实际情况,可为准确评估气候变化背景下辽宁水稻延迟型冷害时空变化规律提供依据.
英文摘要: The anomaly of mean temperature summation from May to September (DeltaT_(5-9)) was commonly used to assess delayed cold damage of rice in Northeast China,but whether the change of statistics years for climatic mean value (SigmaT_(5 -9)) would affect the evaluation results of Liaoning rice under cold damage needed to be further studied.By using the meteorological industry standard of the People's Republic of China "technical standard on rice cold damage evaluation"(QX/T 182 -2013) and the supplemental indices (DeltaT_(5-9)) ,the index (SigmaT_(5 -9)) was calculated in four periods1961-1990 (S_1) ,1971-2000 (S_2) ,1981-2010 (S_3) and 1961-2010 (S_4) ,and the spatial and temporal changes of cold damage in Liaoning Province were analyzed based on the ratio between cold damage stations and total stations (IOC) and the occurrence frequency.The results showed that the heat condition (SigmaT_(5 -9)) in rice growing season increased obviously and the spatial and temporal changes were significant from 1961 to 2010.The original meteorological index of rice cold damage was improved by using quadratic polynomial model.The identification results were similar between S_2 and S_4.The variation coefficient of IOC in S_3 was lower than that of the other three. Compared with the typical rice yield reduction years,the evaluation results accorded better with the actual situation in evaluating the rice delayed cold damage in Liaoning during study period by using the S_3 climate mean value.The results could provide evidence for accurately evaluating the variation of rice cold damage in spatial and temporal distribution in Liaoning Province under the background of glo-bal climate change.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150115
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所, 沈阳, 辽宁 110166, 中国

Recommended Citation:
纪瑞鹏,于文颖,武晋雯,等. 气候平均值变化对辽宁水稻延迟型冷害评估结果的影响[J]. 应用生态学报,2015-01-01,26(6):1729-1735
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