globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5568890
论文题名:
未来气候变化情景下中国自然湿地CH_4排放的时空变化
其他题名: Spatiotemporal variations of natural wetland CH_4 emissions over China under future climate change
作者: 刘建功1; 朱求安1; 沈燕2; 杨延征1; 罗云鹏1; 彭长辉1
刊名: 应用生态学报
ISSN: 1001-9332
出版年: 2015
卷: 26, 期:11, 页码:1735-1749
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 自然湿地生态系统 ; 气候变化
英文关键词: CH_4 ; TRIPLEX-GHG ; natural wetland ecosystem ; CH_4 ; climate change ; TRIPLEX-GHG
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 应用TRIPLEX-GHG 模型,模拟未来气候变化背景下20062100年中国自然湿地生态系统CH_4排放的时空变化.结果表明:保持中国现有自然湿地分布不变,在3种相对浓度路径(RCP2.6、RCP4.5和RCP8.5)情境下,21世纪末,中国自然湿地CH_4排放量与当前水平相比将分别增长32.0%、55.3%和90.8%.中国大陆南方自然湿地CH_4排放高于中部和北方,且自西向东呈现上升趋势.CH_4高通量排放区域主要集中在长江中下游湿地、东北湿地和珠江沿岸湿地.RCP4.5和RCP8.5情境下全国大部分自然湿地CH_4排放通量增加,而RCP2.6情境下21世纪中后期CH_4排放上升趋势得到控制并开始下降,到世纪末部分地区(尤其是青藏高原地区)CH_4排放通量与当前水平相比有所降低.
英文摘要: Based on a new process-based model,TRIPLEX-GHG,this paper analyzed the spatiotemporal variations of natural wetland CH_4 emissions over China under different future climate change scenarios. When natural wetland distributions were fixed,the amount of CH_4 emissions from natural wetland ecosystem over China would increase by 32.0%,55.3% and 90.8% by the end of 21st century under three representative concentration pathways (RCPs) scenarios,RCP2. 6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5,respectively,compared with the current level. Southern China would have higher CH_4 emissions compared to that from central and northern China. Besides,there would be relatively low emission fluxes in western China while relatively high emission fluxes in eastern China. Spatially,the areas with relatively high CH_4 emission fluxes would be concentrated in the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River,the Northeast and the coasts of the Pearl River. In the future, most natural wetlands would emit more CH_4 for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 than that of 2005. However, under RCP2.6 scenario,the increasing trend would be curbed and CH_4 emissions (especially from the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau) begin to decrease in the late 21st century.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150130
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.西北农林科技大学林学院, 杨凌, 陕西 712100, 中国
2.中南林业科技大学生命科学与技术学院, 长沙, 湖南 410004, 中国

Recommended Citation:
刘建功,朱求安,沈燕,等. 未来气候变化情景下中国自然湿地CH_4排放的时空变化[J]. 应用生态学报,2015-01-01,26(11):1735-1749
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