globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5488493
论文题名:
海南岛农业气候资源的时空变化特征
其他题名: Spatiotemporal Change Characteristics of Agricultural Climate Resources in Hainan Island
作者: 邹海平; 张京红; 陈小敏; 刘少军; 李伟光
刊名: 中国农业气象
ISSN: 1000-6362
出版年: 2015
卷: 36, 期:4, 页码:181-189
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 农业气候资源 ; 海南岛 ; 界限温度 ; 气候倾向率 ; 气候变化
英文关键词: Agricultural climate resource ; Hainan Island ; Critical temperature ; Climate trend rate ; Climate change
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 基于海南岛18个气象站1961-2010年的气温、降水量、日照时数等观测资料,分Ⅰ(1961-1980)、 Ⅱ(1981-2010)两个时段计算与农业生产密切相关的年平均气温、1月平均气温、不同界限温度的积温、全年及≥15℃和≥20℃界限温度生长期间的日照时数、湿润度等光热水指标的年平均值和各指标1961-2010年的气候倾向率,同时结合海南岛主要种植作物类型,分析各指标的时空变化特征。结果表明:1961-2010年,海南岛各站年平均气温、1月均温和≥10℃、≥15℃、≥20℃的积温均呈增加趋势,平均增速分别为0.26、 0.36℃?10a~(-1)和94.4、130.1、147.4℃?d?10a~(-1),且大部站点增加显著(P<0.05)。与时段Ⅰ相比,时段Ⅱ适宜热带作物种植的区域面积扩大、不适宜面积缩小。18个站全年、≥15℃和≥20℃界限温度生长期间日照时数的气候倾向率均值分别为-52、-37和-19h?10a~(-1),大部站点呈减少趋势,其中,全年和≥15℃界限温度生长期间日照时数下降显著的站点所占比例分别为72%和56%,主要分布在北部、东部和南部沿海地区,≥20℃界限温度生长期间对应的比例为33%,主要位于北部。与时段Ⅰ相比,时段Ⅱ日照时数低值区明显扩大,高值区缩小。18个站点全年、≥15℃和≥20℃界限温度生长期间降水量的气候倾向率均值分别为40、41和47mm?10a~(-1),绝大多数站点变化趋势不显著,仅文昌市和三亚市增加显著,与时段Ⅰ相比,时段Ⅱ高值区明显扩大,低值区略缩小。湿润指数分布状况及变化趋势与降水量相似。
英文摘要: Based on the 1961-2010 temperature, precipitation, and sunshine hours data etc from 18 meteorological stations in Hainan Island, the perennial average value of some indices which were closely related to the agricultural production including annual mean temperature, mean temperature in January, accumulated temperature of different critical temperatures, and sunshine hours, humidity index etc in the whole year and≥15℃,≥20℃ growing seasons both in periodⅠ(1961-1980) and in period Ⅱ(1981-2010) were calculated, along with their climate trend rates in 1961-2010. And the spatiotemporal change characteristics of above indexes were analyzed combined with agrotype of Hainan Island. The results showed that in 1961-2010, the annual temperature, mean temperature in January and≥10℃,≥15℃,≥20℃ accumulated temperature of each weather satiation all showed an increasing trend, with the increment averaged 0.26, 0.36℃?10y~(-1) and 94.4, 130.1, 147.4℃?d?10y~(-1), respectively. And all of them from most stations reached significant level(P<0.05). Comparing with those in periodⅠ, the suitable planting areas for tropical crops in period Ⅱ were increased, and the unsuitable areas were reduced. The average climate trend rates of sunshine hours in the whole year and≥15℃,≥20℃ growing seasons from all stations were -52,-37 and -19h?10y~(-1), respectively, with sunshine hours from most stations having an decreasing trend. And the stations where sunshine hours decreased significantly in the whole year and≥15℃ growing season were mainly distributed in the northern, eastern and southern coastal areas, accounting for 72% and 56% of all stations. And the corresponding stations in≥20℃ growing season were located in the northern areas, with the ratio of 33%. Compared with those in periodⅠ, the low value areas of sunshine hours in all 3 stages expanded obviously while high value areas shrank in period Ⅱ. The average climate trend rates of precipitation in the whole year and≥15℃,≥20℃ growing seasons from all stations were 40, 41 and 47mm?10y~(-1), respectively. And the precipitation from most stations in all 3 stages showed a slight increasing trend, except Wenchang and Sanya station where precipitation increased significantly. Compared with those in periodⅠ, the high value area of precipitation in all 3 stages expanded evidently while low value area shrank slightly in period Ⅱ. The distribution and changing trend of humidity index were similar to the precipitations.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150273
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 海南省气象科学研究所, 海南省南海气象防灾减灾重点实验室, 海口, 海南 570203, 中国

Recommended Citation:
邹海平,张京红,陈小敏,等. 海南岛农业气候资源的时空变化特征[J]. 中国农业气象,2015-01-01,36(4):181-189
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