globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5552967
论文题名:
黄河流域极端气温指数的气候演变特征分析
其他题名: Characteristic Analysis of the Climatic Revolution in the Yellow River Extreme Temperature Index
作者: 吴灿1; 赵景波2; 王格慧3
刊名: 中国农业气象
ISSN: 1000-6362
出版年: 2015
卷: 36, 期:5, 页码:1815-1823
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 突变分析 ; 变化周期 ; 影响因素 ; 气候变化 ; 黄河流域
英文关键词: Mann-Kendall test ; Cycle variation ; Influence factor ; Climate change ; The Yellow River Basin(YRB)
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用黄河流域1963-2013年59个站点日最高和最低气温资料,结合线性拟合、M-K检验、Morlet小波分析、主成分分析及相关性分析等方法,研究了该流域极端气温的时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)整体上看,黄河流域冷日、冷夜、冰日、霜冻、冷持续日数分别以1.06、1.93、2.40、3.36、1.12d·10a~(-1) (P<0.001)的趋势减少,而暖日、暖夜、夏日、热夜、暖持续日数、生物生长季分别以1.56、2.22、2.66、1.56、1.48、3.47d·10a~(-1) (P<0.001)的趋势增加,日最低气温极小(大)值、日最高气温极小(大)值及气温日较差的变化率分别为0.25(0.4)、0.18(0.27)、-0.09℃·10a~(-1) (P<0.05)。(2)研究区内6个子区域的极端气温指数的变化趋势相一致,宁夏中北部、内蒙古中南部极端气温事件变化趋势最为显著。(3)夜指数(暖夜、冷夜)变化幅度大于昼指数(暖日、冷日),冷指数(极端最低、最高温度极小值)变化幅度小于暖指数(极端最低、最高温度极大值)。(4)黄河上中游比下游地区对极端气温变化更敏感。(5)WMO发布的16个指数均有3a、7a左右的短周期和26a左右的长周期,而暖(冷)持续日数、气温日较差、生物生长季还拥有一个16a左右的中长周期。(6)除日最低气温极小值、气温日较差、冷持续日数外,其余各项指数的突变年份均发生在20世纪90年代。
英文摘要: In this paper, the spatiotemporal variation of extreme temperature events were investigated based on the daily maximum and minimum temperature data observed by 59 meteorological stations for the period 1963-2013 in the Yellow River Basin(YRB), with the help of liner regression, Mann-Kendall test, wavelet analysis, principal component analysis and correlation analysis. The results showed that, (1)cool days, cool nights, ice days, frost days and cold speel duration days displayed significant negative trend at rates of 1.06, 1.93, 2.40, 3.36 and1.12d·10y~(-1), respectively(P<0.001), while warm days, warm nights, summer days, tropical nights, warm speel duration days and growing season length exhibited significant positive trend at rates of 1.56, 2.22, 2.66, 1.56, 1.48 and 3.47d·10y~(-1) (P<0.001), respectively. Furthermore, the trends for annual minimum value of daily minimum (maximum) temperature, annual maximum value of daily minimum (maximum) and diurnal temperature range were 0.25(0.4), 0.18(0.27) and -0.09℃·10y~(-1) (P<0.05), respectively. (2)The six sub-region's extreme temperature indices remained same variation tendency, while the extreme temperature events of north-central Ningxia and south-central Inner Mongolia were more significant. (3)The change range of night indices(warm nights, cold night) were larger than those day indices (warm days, cold days), the range of variation in cold indices (annual minimum value of daily minimum/maximum) were smaller than warm indices (annual maximum value of daily minimum/maximum). (4)The upper-middle of Yellow River were more sensitive than downstream for the extreme temperatures change. (5)All of 16 indices had short cycles of 3 and 7 years, and had long cycles of 26 years, while warm/cold spell duration days, diurnal temperature range and growing season length also had another cycle of 16 years. (6)Besides, annual minimum value of daily minimum, diurnal temperature range and cold spell duration days, the time points of abrupt change for others were concentrated in 1990s.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150278
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院, 西安, 陕西 710062, 中国
2.陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院, 中国科学院气溶胶化学与物理重点实验室, 西安, 陕西 710062, 中国
3.中国科学院地球环境研究所, 中国科学院气溶胶化学与物理重点实验室, 西安, 陕西 710061, 中国

Recommended Citation:
吴灿,赵景波,王格慧. 黄河流域极端气温指数的气候演变特征分析[J]. 中国农业气象,2015-01-01,36(5):1815-1823
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