globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5552975
论文题名:
气候变暖背景下南疆棉花种植区划的变化
其他题名: Cotton-Planting Zoning Change in Southern Xinjiang Under the Background of Global Warming
作者: 张山清1; 普宗朝2; 李景林1; 李新建1; 吉春容3; 王命全1; 李悦4
刊名: 中国农业气象
ISSN: 1000-6362
出版年: 2015
卷: 36, 期:5, 页码:1815-1828
语种: 中文
中文关键词: ≥10℃积温 ; 无霜冻期 ; 7月平均气温 ; 棉花区划 ; 南疆地区
英文关键词: ArcGIS ; Annual accumulated temperature of ≥10℃ ; Frost-free period ; Mean temperature in July ; Cotton- planting zoning ; South Xinjiang ; ArcGIS
WOS学科分类: AGRONOMY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 利用南疆地区52个气象台站1961-2013年逐年≥10℃积温、无霜冻期和最热月(7月)平均气温资料,使用线性趋势分析、累积距平和t检验以及基于ArcGIS的混合插值法对各热量要素的时空变化进行分析;结合新疆棉花种植气候区划指标,对比分析了1997年前后南疆棉花种植气候区划的变化。结果表明:南疆地区热量资源的空间分布总体呈现平原和盆地多,山区少的特点。全球变暖背景下,近53a,南疆地区≥l0℃积温、无霜冻期和7月平均气温分别以56.64℃*d*10a~(-1)、3.15d*10a~(-1)和0.15℃*10a~(-1) (P<0.05)的倾向率呈显著上升趋势,并分别于1997、1997和1994年发生突变,受其影响,1997年后较其之前,南疆地区中熟棉、中早熟棉区面积分别扩大17682km~2和43033km~2,早熟棉区面积变化不明显,特早熟棉区和不宜棉区分别减少4940km~2和56589km~2。
英文摘要: Based on climatic data from 52 meteorological stations in southern Xinjiang during 1961-2013, the fundamental spatial-temporal change characteristic of annual accumulated temperature of ≥10℃, frost-free period and mean temperature in July were analyzed by using the methods of linear regression, accumulative anomaly, T-test and mixed spatial interpolation technology based on ArcGIS. And the change of cotton-planting zoning was studied by combining with the cotton-planting climate division index. The main results are as the follows: heat resource was very obviously different in different regions of southern Xinjiang, generally, annual accumulated temperature of ≥10℃, frost-free period and mean temperature in July were higher or more in plain areas than in mountain areas. In the background of global warming, the three indicators showed an increasing trend at the rates of 56.63℃·d·10y~(-1), 3.15d·10y~(-1) and 0.15℃·10y~(-1) in recent 53 years, and they had mutation in 1997, 1997 and 1994, respectively. Under the joint effects of the above-mentioned climate factors, the areas of middle maturing cotton and early-middle maturing cotton expanded 17682km~2 and 43033km~2 respectively, early maturing cotton areas did not change significantly, but the areas of special early maturing cotton and unsuitable cotton planting areas decreased by 4940km~2 and 56589km~2 after 1997 than before in southern Xinjiang.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150280
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.新疆农业气象台, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国
2.新疆乌鲁木齐市气象局, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国
3.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国
4.国家卫星气象中心乌鲁木齐气象卫星地面站, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830011, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张山清,普宗朝,李景林,等. 气候变暖背景下南疆棉花种植区划的变化[J]. 中国农业气象,2015-01-01,36(5):1815-1828
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[张山清]'s Articles
[普宗朝]'s Articles
[李景林]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[张山清]'s Articles
[普宗朝]'s Articles
[李景林]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[张山清]‘s Articles
[普宗朝]‘s Articles
[李景林]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.