globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5337108
论文题名:
基于树轮delta~(13)C的阿尔泰山南坡夏季降水变化分析
其他题名: Summer Precipitation Variation in the Southern Slope of the Altay Mountains Recorded by Tree-ring delta~(13)C
作者: 张瑞波1; 尚华明1; 袁玉江1; 魏文寿1; 张同文1; 陈峰1; 喻树龙1; 范子昂1; 秦莉1
刊名: 中国沙漠
ISSN: 1000-694X
出版年: 2015
卷: 35, 期:1, 页码:1825-1832
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 阿尔泰山 ; 树木年轮 ; 降水 ; 气候变化
英文关键词: delta~(13)C ; Altay Mountains ; tree-ring ; precipitation ; delta~(13)C ; climate change
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用阿尔泰山南坡东、中、西部3个样点的西伯利亚落叶松树轮delta~(13)C序列,结合阿勒泰地区7个气象站降水资料分析表明,树轮delta~(13)C序列对阿尔泰山南坡夏季降水有较好的响应,最高相关系数可达到-0.682(p<0.0001)。利用回归方法重建了过去160年来阿尔泰山南坡夏季降水量。阿尔泰山南坡夏季降水在18501871年偏多,18721956年经历了长期的干旱,20世纪60年代至今,随着新疆整体气候的暖湿化,阿尔泰山南坡经历了较长的湿润期。重建的夏季降水与上年冬季北极涛动(AO)有较好的相关性,北极涛动可能对阿尔泰山南坡过去160年降水有较大影响。阿尔泰山南坡过去160年夏季降水变化存在11a(95%)、2.7a(95%)、2.4a(95%)、2.1a(99%)和2.0a(99%)的准周期变化。
英文摘要: In this paper,we developed 3 tree-ring delta~(13)C chronologies from eastern,central and western on south slope of the Altay Mountains based on standard dendrochronology methods and stable carbon isotope research process.Correlation analysis combined with precipitation data from7 meteorological stations in the Altay Mountains showed that,the tree-ring delta~(13)C series response to summer precipitation on south slope of the Altay Mountains,the highest single correlation index can reach to-0.682 (p<0.0001).The summer precipitation was constructed with regression method.The reconstruction could go back to 1850 and has an adjusted r~2 of 0.453 (1962-2008).The precipitation variability in the past 160 years was analyzed,it shown that the summer precipitation is above normal in the 1850-1871,then the climate have a long dryer period in 1872-1956,and after 1960s until today,it experienced a long wetter period with the climate warming and wetting in Xinjiang.There have a good correlation between summer precipitation and Arctic Oscillation(AO),and Arctic Oscillation may have a greater impact on precipitation variability on south slope of the Altay Mountains.The summer precipitation have the quasi-periodic variations of 11 a (95%),2.7 a (95%),2.4 a(95%),2.1 a(99%)and 2.0 a(99%).
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150311
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所, 中国气象局树轮年轮理化研究重点开放实验室
2.新疆树木年轮生态实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张瑞波,尚华明,袁玉江,等. 基于树轮delta~(13)C的阿尔泰山南坡夏季降水变化分析[J]. 中国沙漠,2015-01-01,35(1):1825-1832
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