globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5401474
论文题名:
南京市气象因素对居民心血管疾病死亡的影响
其他题名: Impacts of meteorological factors on death caused by cardiovascular disease in Nanjing City
作者: 梁亚琼; 洪忻; 徐斐
刊名: 中华疾病控制杂志
ISSN: 1674-3679
出版年: 2015
卷: 19, 期:1, 页码:185-194
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气象因素 ; 死亡率 ; 心血管疾病
英文关键词: Meteorological factors ; Mortality ; Cardiovascular disease
WOS学科分类: MEDICINE GENERAL INTERNAL ; PUBLIC ENVIRONMENTAL OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
WOS研究方向: General & Internal Medicine ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
中文摘要: 目的通过研究气象因素对心血管疾病死亡风险的影响,为患病居民提供应对气候变化的针对性预防措施,从而帮助患者有效延长存活期、提高生存质量.方法采用回顾性调查的方法收集资料,分析南京城区2003-2007年气候变化对居民心血管疾病死亡的影响.分析各气象因素与疾病日死亡人数的相关关系,并进行曲线估计分析.结果南京市区2003-2007年居民心死亡人数有所上升,但死亡率无上升趋势(x_(趋势)~2=3.71,P=0.054).夏季,当日最高温度高于32℃时,心血管疾病的死亡人数增加(Z=9.24,P=0.001);冬季,随着日最低温度的降低,心血管疾病死亡人数逐渐增加,但是没有死亡人数明显增加温度转折点.平均气压与之呈正相关(r=0.27,P=0.001);相对湿度(r=-0.04,P=0.00l)、降水量(r=-0.12,P=0.001)与心血管疾病死亡呈负相关.结论夏季心血管疾病死亡人数明显增多的日最高温度的临界值是32℃,低气压、潮湿的环境会增加心血管疾病的死亡人数.
英文摘要: Objective To explore the influence of meteorological factors on the risk of cardiovascular disease mortality, so as to prolong survival time and improve the life quality of patients with cardiovascular system diseases in. Methods A retrospective survey was used to collect relative information to analyze the impact of climate change on the death of cardiovascular system disease in Nanjing from 2003 to 2007. Curve estimation analysis was used to analyze correlations between various meteorological factors. Results During 2003 - 2007,the death numbers of residents in Nanjing with cardiovascular diseases increased. The difference of mortality rates,were not statistically significant (chi_(trend)~2 = 3. 71,P = 0. 054). The deaths of the cardiovascular disease showed a sharp increasing tendency when the daily highest temperature reached to 32 ℃ in summer,with a statistical significance (Z = 9. 24,P = 0. 001). In winter,cardiovascular death toll increased gradually with the decrease of daily minimum temperature,buts no temperature turning point was noted with increased number of deaths. Average barometric presure had a positive correlation (r = 0. 27,P = 0. 001). Relative humidity (r = - 0. 04, P = 0. 001) and precipitation (r = - 0. 12,P = 0. 001) were negatively correlated with incidence of cardiovascular disease. Conclusions The result indicates that critical temperature to increase the deaths of cardiovascular system disease in the summer is 32 ℃. Low pressure and moist environment will also increase the mortality of cardiovascular disease.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150375
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 南京市疾病预防控制中心免疫规划科, 南京, 江苏 210003, 中国

Recommended Citation:
梁亚琼,洪忻,徐斐. 南京市气象因素对居民心血管疾病死亡的影响[J]. 中华疾病控制杂志,2015-01-01,19(1):185-194
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[梁亚琼]'s Articles
[洪忻]'s Articles
[徐斐]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[梁亚琼]'s Articles
[洪忻]'s Articles
[徐斐]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[梁亚琼]‘s Articles
[洪忻]‘s Articles
[徐斐]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.