globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5433671
论文题名:
气候变化背景下中药大黄原植物的适生区分布预测
其他题名: Suitable Habitats Prediction of Original Plants of Rhei Radix et Rhizoma Under Climate Change
作者: 周云; 李延; 王戌梅
刊名: 中药材
ISSN: 1001-4454
出版年: 2015
卷: 38, 期:3, 页码:186-192,201
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 大黄原植物 ; 物种分布模型 ; 生态位模型 ; 最大熵模型 ; 分布区预测
英文关键词: Rhei Radix et Rhizoma ; Species distribution modeling(SDM) ; Ecological niche modeling(ENM) ; Maximum entropy modeling ; Range prediction
WOS学科分类: PLANT SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Plant Sciences
中文摘要: 目的:在气候变化背景下,预测中药大黄原植物当代及未来适生区分布格局。方法:采用最大熵模型及多种气候变化场景,预测大黄原植物适生区分布格局及变迁。结果:所构建的大黄原植物分布模型具有极佳的预测精度。大黄原植物当代适生区总面积为84.20*10~4 km~2,占中国版图的8.77%;其中,当代适生区57.05%的区域为相对稳定适生区,受气候变化影响相对较小。在气候变化背景下,相较于当代,其在21世纪20、30、40、50、60、70和80年代的适生区总面积均不同程度的减少,但中度适生区面积均有不同程度增加。结论:气候变化对中药大黄原植物的适生区总面积和生境适宜度均会产生负面影响。
英文摘要: Objective: To predict the distribution patterns of the original plants of Rhei Radix et Rhizoma current and in future in China under climate change. Methods: A maximum entropy modeling and variety of climate change scenarios were employed to predict its current and future distribution ranges in China. Results: The resultant models exhibited excellent predictive power. The current suitable habitats for original plants of Rhei Radix et Rhizoma totaled 84. 20 * 10~4 km~2, accounting for 8. 77% of the total area of China;57. 05% of its current suitable habitats(i. e. low impact areas) would be relatively lowly impacted by the climate change. Compared with its current distribution pattern, its distribution ranges during 2020s,2030s,2040s,2050,2060s,2070s and 2080s would be shrunk to some extent. However, the moderately suitable area would be expanded to a certain degree. Conclusion: Climate change has a negative impact on the total area and the habitat suitability for the original plants of Rhei Radix et Rhizoma.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150386
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 西安交通大学药学院, 西安, 陕西 710061, 中国

Recommended Citation:
周云,李延,王戌梅. 气候变化背景下中药大黄原植物的适生区分布预测[J]. 中药材,2015-01-01,38(3):186-192,201
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