globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5878506
论文题名:
全球变暖停滞现象辨识与机理研究
其他题名: Research on the Global Warming Hiatus
作者: 林霄沛1; 许丽晓1; 李建平2; 罗德海3; 刘海龙4
刊名: 地球科学进展
ISSN: 1001-8166
出版年: 2016
卷: 31, 期:10, 页码:20-24
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 全球变暖停滞 ; 年代际-多年代际变化 ; 海洋大气能量热量再分配 ; 可预测性
英文关键词: Global warming hiatus ; Decadal /multi-decadal variability ; Redistribution of heat and energy ; Predictability
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 观测表明全球温室气体浓度持续快速增加,但21世纪以来全球表面平均温度升高有减缓趋势,呈现变暖停滞现象,这对已有的全球变暖认识带来挑战。围绕变暖停滞机理及其可预测性这一国际前沿科学问题,国家重点研发计划全球变暖停滞现象辨识与机理研究主要研究内容有: ①辨识变暖停滞的时空特征,阐明外部强迫和内部自然变率的相对贡献; ②阐明全球变暖停滞背景下,大气在气候系统能量热量再分配过程中的作用及机理; ③阐明全球变暖停滞背景下,海洋动力热力过程对能量热量再分配的调制机理; ④探讨全球变暖停滞现象的可预测性,对其未来变化及重要区域气候影响进行预测预估。以期通过变暖停滞研究回答人们所关心的目前变暖停滞现象未来发展及其对我国及周边的一带一路核心区和南北极重要区域的影响,为我国未来气候政策的制定提供参考依据,为国家参与全球气候治理及国际气候谈判提供科学支撑。
英文摘要: A global warminghiatushas been observed since the beginning of the 21st century despite the increase in heat-trapping greenhouse gases,challenging the current global warming studies. Focusing on the phenomena and mechanisms of the global warminghiatus,the National Key Research Program of China launched a project in July,2016. The main research themes of this project cover: ①Revealing the spatial and temporal variability of the global warming hiatus,and quantifying the contributions of external forcing and internal (natural) variability, respectively; ②Revealing the role of the atmosphere in the global heat and energy redistribution under global warming hiatus; ③Revealing the role of the ocean in the global heat and energy redistribution under global warming hiatus; ④Investigating the predictability of the global warming hiatus. The key scientific issues to be resolved include: ①Identifying characteristics of the global warming hiatus and discerning the roles of decadal,multidecadal oscillations; ②Revealing the role of ocean-atmosphere dynamical processes in the global redistribution of heat and energy; ③Understanding the predictability of the global warming hiatus. The research aims to predict the future development of the global warming hiatus,and to point out the possible impacts on China and other important areas,includingThe Belt and Roadcore area and the Polar Regions.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150681
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.中国海洋大学, 物理海洋教育部重点实验室
2.青岛海洋科学与技术国家实验室, 青岛, 山东 266100, 中国
3.北京师范大学全球变化与地球系统科学研究院, 北京 100875, 中国
4.中国科学院大气物理研究所, 东亚区域气候-环境中国科学院重点实验室, 北京 100029, 中国
5.上海交通大学海洋研究院, 上海 200240, 中国

Recommended Citation:
林霄沛,许丽晓,李建平,等. 全球变暖停滞现象辨识与机理研究[J]. 地球科学进展,2016-01-01,31(10):20-24
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[林霄沛]'s Articles
[许丽晓]'s Articles
[李建平]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[林霄沛]'s Articles
[许丽晓]'s Articles
[李建平]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[林霄沛]‘s Articles
[许丽晓]‘s Articles
[李建平]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.