globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5798739
论文题名:
春季南支槽的年代际变化及其与降水、大气环流的关系
其他题名: Interdecadal Variation of Springtime Southern Branch Trough and Its Relationship with Precipitation and Atmospheric Circulation
作者: 张永莉1; 范广洲2; 朱克云1; 袁东升1; 华维2; 王炳赟1
刊名: 高原气象
ISSN: 1000-0534
出版年: 2016
卷: 35, 期:4, 页码:21-31
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 春季南支槽 ; 年代际变化 ; 突变 ; 降水 ; 大气环流
英文关键词: Springtime southern branch trough ; Interdecadal variation ; Mutation ; Precipitation ; Atmospheric circulation
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 由于春季青藏高原动力作用在其南侧形成南支槽,南支槽年代际变化的异常,可能与中国降水异常有密切的关系。利用NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析资料和中国596个测站月降水资料,采用突变检验、合成分析等方法,分析了19502014年春季南支槽的强度和东、西位置的年代际变化特征,探讨了两者与同期中国降水年代际异常及环流背景场的关系。结果表明:春季南支槽的强度和位置都具有显著的年代际变化特征,南支槽强度在20世纪70年代末期有一次强弱突变过程,位置在90年代初期发生了明显的由东向西移动的转折,分别选取强度和位置突变前后的时间段进行分析,得到春季南支槽强度突变前(后),南支槽越强(弱),位置突变前(后),南支槽越偏东(西),会出现黄河流域、长江中下游及其以北和以南的大部分地区降水偏多(少),而青藏高原及其周围地区降水偏少(多)的现象,从两者突变前后与大气环流、垂直运动和水汽条件的显著关系能够合理地解释突变前后降水差异的原因。在此基础上,总结了春季南支槽年代际尺度与中国降水、大气环流的概念模型,可为中国春季的气候变化和气候预测提供更多的科学依据。
英文摘要: The Springtime Southern Branch Trough (SSBT) is generated by the dynamic forcing of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, which own abnormal interdecadal variability, and which may be closely related to the anomaly of precipitation in China. The intensity and east/west position of the SSBT and the pertinence between these are analyzed and the corresponding interdecadal variation of precipitation and atmospheric circulation in China, whose interdecadal variation in last 65 years are discussed as well, using the monthly average of reanalyzed data from NCEP/NCAR, combined with monthly precipitation data of 596 observation stations provided, and by employing the methods such as mutation inspection, composition analysis, etc. The results of the analysis indicate that the intensity and position of SSBT is characterized by interdecadal variability, its intensity have a weak mutation process in the late 1970s, and its position was sudden changed from east to west in the early 1990s. And the mutation before(after) the intensity of SSBT is, the stronger (weaker) the SSBT is, while the mutation before(after) the position is, the easter (wester) the SSBT leans, and the precipitation of the Yellow River basin, the middle and lower parts of the Yangtze River and its northern /southern areas increases (decreases), while it apparently drops (rises) in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and its surrounding area, by using before and after the period of the intensity and position of SSBT. Besides, the relationship between mutation before /after the period of intensity /position and atmospheric circulation, vertical movement, water vapor is also very significant, which explains the reason for the difference of precipitation in China. Then on the base of these, the concept frame of interdecadal relationship with precipitation and atmospheric circulation in SSBT is summarized. These results are helpful to better provide more scientific basis for how and why the spring climate change and climate prediction of China.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150885
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.成都信息工程大学大气科学学院, 高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室, 成都, 四川 610225, 中国
2.成都信息工程大学大气科学学院, 高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室
3.气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心, 成都, 四川 610225, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张永莉,范广洲,朱克云,等. 春季南支槽的年代际变化及其与降水、大气环流的关系[J]. 高原气象,2016-01-01,35(4):21-31
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