globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5835442
论文题名:
农业旱涝灾害气象因子的致灾阈值研究进展
其他题名: Advances in Threshold of Meteorological Flood and Drought Inducing Factors in Agriculture
作者: 高超1; 张勋2; 陆苗2; 姚梦婷2; 许莹3
刊名: 灌溉排水学报
ISSN: 1672-3317
出版年: 2016
卷: 35, 期:11, 页码:214-223
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 农业旱涝灾害 ; 气象致灾因子 ; 致灾阈值 ; 水文模型
英文关键词: Drought and flood disasters in agriculture ; meteorological disaster inducing factors ; disaster inducing threshold ; hydrological model
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 农业易受旱涝影响造成严重损失,关于农业旱涝灾害气象因子的致灾阈值研究,在点尺度上从气象致灾因子的致灾机理、人工旱涝灾害试验及田间小区建立的作物模型模拟角度定量化致灾阈值;在面尺度上进行流域数理统计、气象致灾因子的旱涝指标以及理论假设基础上的气象致灾因子阈值等研究。目前存在的不足有:①研究内容上,气象致灾因子的致灾过程尚不甚清晰;②研究方法上,以统计方法建立的面尺度气象致灾因子及其可能阈值等尚未有较好的试验佐证。未来需要加强以下研究:①细化点尺度气象致灾过程研究,在致灾过程中寻找致灾规律,划定相应致灾阈值。②实现点、面尺度的转换,而其中转换工具的选取亦是决定尺度推绎和转换能否成功的关键。
英文摘要: Agriculture is affected by climate change most sensitively, especially prone to be affected by drought and flooding, causing serious losses. Researches on the threshold of meteorological disaster inducing factors at point scale have been carried out, such as formative mechanism in meteorological disaster inducing factors, artificial experiments of drought and flood disaster and crop simulation models based on field plot, etc. Moreover, researches at surface scale have appeared, such as mathematical statistics in the basin, drought-flood index of meteorological disaster inducing factors and the meteorological disaster inducing threshold based on the theoretical hypothesis. The major problems are as follows: formative process in meteorological disaster inducing factors is not clear on the content of study; and as for the study method, there is no suitable experimental support for meteorological disaster inducing factors and its probable threshold at surface scale achieved through statistical approach. The advanced researches need to be developed as follows: after refining the formative process of meteorological disaster at point scale and finding the law, the disaster inducing threshold is defined. It is important to achieve the transformation between point and surface scale. The conversion tool is decided to the successful yardstick reasoning and scaling convert.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150908
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.安徽师范大学国土资源与旅游学院, 芜湖, 安徽 241000, 中国
2.安徽师范大学国土资源与旅游学院, 安徽自然灾害过程与防控研究省级实验室, 芜湖, 安徽 241000, 中国
3.安徽省气象科学研究所, 合肥, 安徽 230031, 中国

Recommended Citation:
高超,张勋,陆苗,等. 农业旱涝灾害气象因子的致灾阈值研究进展[J]. 灌溉排水学报,2016-01-01,35(11):214-223
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