globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5716575
论文题名:
未来气候变化对黑河流域作物需水影响分析
其他题名: Analysis of impact from futural climate change on crop water demand in Heihe River Basin
作者: 韩冬梅1; 高宇2; 许新宜1
刊名: 水利水电技术
ISSN: 1000-0860
出版年: 2016
卷: 47, 期:4, 页码:253-260
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 农业需水 ; 小麦 ; 玉米 ; 黑河流域
英文关键词: climate change ; agricultural water demand ; wheat ; corn ; Heihe River Basin
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 借助作物发育期积温阈值法和气候倾向率法,分析了作物发育期的物候变化,结合气温和物候期两个控制变量,分析了不同气候变化情景下的黑河流域典型作物需水量变化规律。结果表明: 利用发育期积温阈值法和气候倾向率法分析作物物候期变化,与实际相符。小麦和玉米生育期整体表现为缩短的趋势,且全生育期长度缩短。小麦全生育期作物需水量非线性增加,即气温平均升高1℃,生育期开始时间提前2d,生育期缩短2d,需水量增加约为1.4mm; 玉米全生育期作物需水量非线性减少,即气温平均升高1℃,生育期开始时间提前3d,生育期长度缩短4d,需水量减少近0.9 mm。
英文摘要: The phenological change during crop development period is analyzed herein with the method of the accumulated temperature threshold value during crop development and the method of the climate tendency rate,and then the changing laws of the water demands from the typical crops under various climate change scenarios in Heihe River Basin are analyzed in combination with both the control variables of both the temperature and the phenological period. The result shows that the analysis result of the phenological period change of crop obtained by both the method of the accumulated temperature threshold value during crop development and the method of the climate tendency rate is coincided with that of the reality. The growing periods of both wheat and the corn generally present the tendencies of shortening,and then the whole growing periods are shortened. Moreover, the water demand of wheat is non-linearly increased during its whole growing period,i. e. if the mean temperature rise is 1 ℃,the growing period is to start 2 d in advance and is to be shortened by 2 d with the increase of the water demand of about 1.4 mm,while the water demand of corn is non-linearly decreased during its whole growing period,i. e. if the mean temperature rise is 1 ℃,the growing period is to start 3 d in advance and is to be shortened by 4 d with the decrease of the water demand of about 0.9 mm.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/151498
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.北京师范大学水科学研究院, 北京 100875, 中国
2.中国水利水电科学研究院, 北京 100038, 中国

Recommended Citation:
韩冬梅,高宇,许新宜. 未来气候变化对黑河流域作物需水影响分析[J]. 水利水电技术,2016-01-01,47(4):253-260
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