globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5851147
论文题名:
BCC_CSM1.1(m)模式对热带太平洋潜热通量的评估
其他题名: An Assessment of the Tropical Pacific Latent Heat Flux Simulated by BCC_CSM 1. l(m)
作者: 唐慧琴1; 曾刚2; 黄悦1
刊名: 应用气象学报
ISSN: 1001-7313
出版年: 2016
卷: 27, 期:4, 页码:268-274
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 潜热通量 ; 热带太平洋
英文关键词: BCC_CSM1.1(m) ; BCC_CSM1. l(m) ; latent heat flux ; tropical Pacific
WOS学科分类: OCEANOGRAPHY
WOS研究方向: Oceanography
中文摘要: 利用19792005年OAFlux(Objectively Analyzed air-sea Fluxes)观测资料以及CMIP5的15个耦合模式的模拟结果,评估了BCC_CSMl.1(m)模式对热带太平洋年平均潜热通量气候态和变化趋势的模拟能力,并分析造成趋势偏差的可能原因。结果表明:BCC_CSMl.1(m)模式模拟热带太平洋年平均潜热通量气候态在各纬度上差异较大,其中在赤道的模拟能力较佳,而在10°N和8°S附近模拟偏差较大;BCC_CSM1.1(m)模式对热带太平洋年平均潜热通量趋势的模拟能力一般,造成趋势偏差的主要原因是该模式低估了风速对潜热通量的局地贡献以及它对风速的非局地贡献的模拟存在较大偏差。此外,该模式未能较好地模拟出风速对全球变暖响应。因此,BCC_ CSMl.1(m)模式对热带太平洋年平均潜热通量趋势模拟的改进需加强其对风速模拟的改进。
英文摘要: The simulated tropical Pacific annual mean latent heat flux by BCC_CSM1.1 (m) as well as 14 other CMIP5 models are analyzed and compared with observations from objectively analyzed air-sea fluxesCOAFlux). Some possible causes for annual latent heat flux trend biases in BCC_CSM1. l(m) are investigated. Biases of annual average latent heat flux between observations and BCC_CSM1. l(m) in the tropical ocean and west boundary current area is larger, while in mid-high latitudes is smaller. Annual average latent heat flux is larger than observations, and annual mean latent heat flux variance is smaller than observations. The tropical Pacific annual and zonal mean latent heat flux is quite different in different latitudes. Simulation results of BCC_CSM1. l(m) near 10°N and 8°S have relatively large biases, while the biases are rather small in equator. So BCC_CSM1. l(m) needs to focus on improving the simulation of Pacific latent heat flux near 10° in each hemisphere. Among 15 CMIP5 models, NorESMl_M gives the best simulation result, and the root mean square error is the smallest, while the root mean square error of GISS_E2_R result is the largest. The root mean square error of BCC_CSM1. l(m) result is 22.9 W · m~(-2),ranking eighth among all models, which indicates a moderate simulating ability. The trend of the tropical Pacific annual mean latent heat flux in BCC_CSM1. l(m) has biases comparing with the observation,and the cause can be concluded in 3 aspects. First, the local contribution horizontal wind speed to latent heat flux trend is underestimated in BCC_CSM1. l(m). Second, there are large biases for simulated non-local contribution of horizontal wind speed in BCC_CSM1. l(m). Finally, the response to the global warming of horizontal wind speed in BCC_CSM1.1 (m) has large biases as well. Therefore, the main cause for trend biases of tropical Pacific annual mean latent heat flux is the large simulation deviation of horizontal wind speed in BCC_CSM1. l(m), and therefore the model needs improving in horizontal wind speed simulation.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/151695
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.南京信息工程大学, 气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心
2.气象灾害教育部重点实验室, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国
3.南京信息工程大学, 气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心
4.气象灾害教育部重点实验室
5.高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国

Recommended Citation:
唐慧琴,曾刚,黄悦. BCC_CSM1.1(m)模式对热带太平洋潜热通量的评估[J]. 应用气象学报,2016-01-01,27(4):268-274
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