globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5763670
论文题名:
能源活动碳排放核算与减排政策选择
其他题名: Accounting and reduction policy on carbon emissions from energy activities
作者: 朱婧1; 刘学敏2
刊名: 中国人口·资源与环境
ISSN: 1002-2104
出版年: 2016
卷: 26, 期:7, 页码:285-291
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 碳排放核算 ; 时空特征 ; 情景分析 ; 低碳发展
英文关键词: greenhouse gas accounting ; spatiotemporal characteristics ; scenario analysis ; low-carbon development
WOS学科分类: ECONOMICS
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics
中文摘要: 应对气候变化的科学基础是摸清区域碳排放基本状况,对碳排放现状的梳理是探索环境改善路径的依据。探索低碳发展路径的核心在于减排政策选择,同时也是实现可持续发展的条件保障。京津冀协同发展背景下区域环境保护及大气污染治理成为研究热点,河北省资源环境容量与经济增长之间的矛盾日益凸显,生态文明、可持续发展的要求促使探明环境现状,研究节能减排低碳发展的创新机制。摸清河北省碳排放基本现状,探明能源需求和碳排放的演变规律,对河北省探索低碳发展路径具有实践意义。本文基于河北省全域的数据资料和实地调查,核算了河北省下辖11个地级市能源活动引起的碳排放,分析了2005-2013年碳排放的时空演化规律,以情景分析方法为基础,预测了河北省到2030年的碳排放状况。认为:第一,能源活动的碳排放量从研究时间尺度上来看,始终保持增长的趋势,且2009年以后增长更为显著;从空间尺度上来看,唐山市的排放始终是全省最高。第二,基于情景分析对河北省能源活动的碳排放可能状况进行预测。基准情景是排放量最高的情景;低碳情景下2025年前后碳排放最基本稳定;强化低碳情景下设定2030年回到2005年的排放水平上,人均碳排放量始终保持下降,2030年将与全国2012年的人均排放平均水平相当。
英文摘要: Response to the scientific basis of climate change is to find out the basic situation of regional carbon emissions,and the point of exploring the path of low-carbon development is emission reduction policy options,which is a condition for sustainable development. The regional environmental protection and air pollution control becomes a research hotspot under the background of Jing-Jin-Ji development. The contradiction between resources and environmental capacity and economic growth in Hebei Province becomes increasingly prominent,and meanwhile,it is more important to study the innovation mechanism of energy conservation and emission reduction in low-carbon development. To find out the basic situation of carbon emissions in Hebei Province, and to explore the evolution law of energy demand and carbon emissions are of practical significance for low-carbon path study in Hebei Province. Taking regional low-carbon development in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei as the background, this paper calculates the carbon emissions from energy activities based on the data and field investigation in Hebei Province, analyzes the spatiotemporal characteristics in 2005 - 2013, and then based on the scenario analysis method, predicts the carbon emissions in 2030. The conclusions are as follows: first, the carbon emissions always maintained the growth trend, and after 2009 the growth trend was more obvious. From the spatial scale, Tangshan City's emissions were the highest. Second based on the scenario analysis of energy activities in Hebei Province,the highest level of carbon emissions was the Bau scenario, carbon emissions were in basic stability in 2025 under the low-carbon scenario, and emissions levels in 2030 is estimated to be equivalent to the level in 2012. under the enhanced low-carbon scenario.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/151907
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.东北大学秦皇岛分校经济学院, 秦皇岛, 河北 066004, 中国
2.北京师范大学资源学院, 北京 100875, 中国

Recommended Citation:
朱婧,刘学敏. 能源活动碳排放核算与减排政策选择[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境,2016-01-01,26(7):285-291
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[朱婧]'s Articles
[刘学敏]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[朱婧]'s Articles
[刘学敏]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[朱婧]‘s Articles
[刘学敏]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.