globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6141540
论文题名:
全球变暖背景下极端降水变化率与气温的响应关系
其他题名: Response of global warming to extreme precipitation increase over China
作者: 章杰; 鱼京善; 来文立
刊名: 北京师范大学学报. 自然科学版
ISSN: 0476-0301
出版年: 2017
卷: 53, 期:6, 页码:300-308
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 全球变暖 ; 极端降水 ; 饱和水汽压
英文关键词: global warming ; extreme precipitation ; saturated vapor pressure
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 以中国整体为研究区,基于19602013年520个气象站逐日降水和气温数据,选取极端降水变化率(alpha)和饱和水汽压变化率(beta)2个指标,定量分析了极端降水与全球变暖之间的内在联系.结果表明:全球变暖背景下我国整体上极端降水呈现增加的趋势,alpha和beta分别为6.4%·$^circ {C^{ - 1}}$和9.3%·$^circ {C^{ - 1}}$,且alpha更接近理论值(约7%·$^circ {C^{ - 1}}$),beta与平均气温存在指数定量化关系.在此基础上,根据平均气温的不同将我国划分为9个对照组,进一步分析其空间差异,结果表明:alpha和beta在空间上存在显著的正相关关系($r = 0.63$),具体表现为平均气温较高的地区,alpha和beta值也较大.证明了饱和水汽压随温度的变化率可以从大尺度上解释极端降水增加的空间变化特征.
英文摘要: The whole of China was selected as the study area in this study. Data of precipitation and temperature from 19602013 were used to analyze correlation between potential precipitation (saturation vapour pressure) and extreme precipitation with global warming. Change rate of saturated vapor pressure (beta) and change rate of extreme precipitation (alpha) were found to be 9.3%·$^circ {C^{ - 1}}$ and 6.4%·$^circ {C^{ - 1}}$ respectively. Variation rate of extreme precipitation was found to be close to theoretical value (about 7% · $^circ {C^{ - 1}}$). An exponential relationship was established between beta and mean temperature. Nine control groups were divided from 520 stations over China according to variations in annual temperature. Significant positive correlation between a and beta ($r = 0.63$) was established. The warmer group was found to have both higher a and beta . Large scale spatial variations in extreme precipitation could be explained by variations in saturated vapor pressure at different temperatures.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152073
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 北京师范大学水科学研究院, 北京 100875, 中国

Recommended Citation:
章杰,鱼京善,来文立. 全球变暖背景下极端降水变化率与气温的响应关系[J]. 北京师范大学学报. 自然科学版,2017-01-01,53(6):300-308
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