globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5967716
论文题名:
榆林市19512012年气温变化特征
其他题名: Analysis on air temperature variation trend in Yulin from 1951 to 2012
作者: 胡亚飞1; 包光2; 王红桃1
刊名: 地球环境学报
ISSN: 1674-9901
出版年: 2017
卷: 8, 期:2, 页码:3157-3166
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气温 ; 小波分析 ; 突变分析 ; 榆林市
英文关键词: temperature ; wavelet analysis ; abrupt change ; Yulin
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 榆林位于我国北方农牧交错带中部,生态环境脆弱,是全球变化响应的敏感地区。基于榆林市气象站1951 2012年历年逐日气温数据,运用线性回归分析、滑动平均、小波分析和M-K 非参数检验的方法分析了该地区气温变化的特征和突变现象。结果表明:榆林市1951 2012年平均气温有增温趋势,线性倾向率为0.27℃ ·(10a)~(-1)。四季均在增温,其线性倾向率分别为0.26℃ ·(10a)~(-1)、0.07℃ ·(10a)~(-1)、0.21℃ ·(10a)~(-1)、0.56℃ ·(10a)~(-1),冬季增温最为明显,增加了2.8℃。年平均气温存在准3 7 a和25 28 a的周期变化,并在1994年前后发生突变。春季、秋季、冬季平均气温与年平均气温一致,增温趋势明显,而夏季相对较晚。
英文摘要: Background, aim, and scope Yulin is located in the middle of the patterns in northern China, with a fragile ecological environment, is a sensitive area of global change responses. Materials and methods Based on meteorological stations in Yulin, 1951 2012 calendar year daily air temperature data, using linear regression analysis, moving average, wavelet analysis, and Mann-Kendall to analyze the characteristics of temperature changes in the region and mutation phenomena. Results The results show that the average temperature was increasing during 1951 2012, and the linear tendency rate was 0.27℃·(10a)~(-1). The annual average temperature has revealed the 3 to 7 and 25 to 28 quasi-periodic variation in the past 60 years, and the abrupt change has occurred in 1994. In temperature, the four seasons in linear trend rate were 0.26℃ ·(10a)~(-1), 0.07℃·(10a)~(-1), 0.21℃·(10a)~(-1), 0.56℃·(10a)~(-1). Spring, autumn, winter mean temperature and annual average temperature, warming trend is obvious, but relatively late in summer. Discussion Due to the geographical position of Yulin, prone to drought, fragile ecological environment, in addition to the temperature affected by the atmospheric circulation, El Nino and La Nina and other natural factors, but also the existence of manmade factors. Conclusions In general, from the beginning of twenty-first century, a downward trend in the basis of temperature in the city of Yulin will maintain the high temperature, The annual average temperature has revealed the 3 to 7 and 25 to 28 quasi-periodic variation, and the abrupt change has occurred in 1994. The four seasons are in increasing temperature, the most obvious increase in winter temperature, increase of 2.8℃ . Recommendations and perspectives Analysis on the characteristics of temperature variation in Yulin, not only provides a theoretical basis for the development of agriculture and animal husbandry industry in the region, provide a theoretical basis for understanding the Maowusu Desert and its surrounding areas of environmental change, desertification and climate change science. In order to have a deep understanding of the forecast of the future temperature change and the response of the ecological environment in the region.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152262
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.宝鸡文理学院地理与环境学院, 陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室, 宝鸡, 陕西 721013, 中国
2.宝鸡文理学院地理与环境学院, 陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室
3.黄土与第四纪地质国家重点实验室, 宝鸡, 陕西 721013, 中国

Recommended Citation:
胡亚飞,包光,王红桃. 榆林市19512012年气温变化特征[J]. 地球环境学报,2017-01-01,8(2):3157-3166
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